Danielle Collins vs Naomi OsakaAbu Dhabi Round of 32

Abu Dhabi · WTA · Round of 32
#343WTA
1844ELO
1772Hard ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 February 2024
hard
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Collins D.
7-5 6-0
Osaka N.
Collins D.
762
Osaka N.
500

Danielle Collins defeated Naomi Osaka 7-5 6-0 in the Abu Dhabi round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Danielle Collins narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-29US OpenR128hardDanielle Collins7-6(5) 6-3
2022-03-21MiamiQFhardNaomi Osaka6-2 6-1
2019-03-04Indian WellsR32hardNaomi Osaka6-4 6-2
2018-10-01BeijingR32hardNaomi Osaka6-1 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Collins D.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Collins D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Collins D.Osaka N.
Serve
70
Return
60

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
6.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
91
Break points saved·Even
95
96
Break points won·Even
99
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1772
Surface ELO
6.6+149 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1987
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.7
Surface form
3.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
79

Osaka N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 44%