Elias Ymer vs Gustavo HeideDavis Cup QLS R1: SWE vs BRA Round Robin

Davis Cup QLS R1: SWE vs BRA · ATP · Round Robin
#183ATP
1548ELO
1527Hard ELO
$191kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 2 February 2024
hard
#136ATP
1695ELO
1536Hard ELO
$167kYTD
$609kCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Ymer E.
4-6 6-1 6-3
Heide G.
Ymer E.
4662
Heide G.
6131

Elias Ymer defeated Gustavo Heide 4-6 6-1 6-3 in the Davis Cup QLS R1: SWE vs BRA round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Gustavo Heide came in ranked #136.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ymer E.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Heide G.

Heide G.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Ymer E.

Serve advantage — Heide G.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Even
4.7
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (142 vs 110). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
48
51
Break points saved·Slight edge
83
90
Break points won·Clear edge
23
10
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
35
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4Hard Elo 1527
Surface ELO
4.6+9 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1548
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1695
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
7.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
7.5
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
72

Ymer E.: 20 days rest · Heide G.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About