Jurij Rodionov vs Brandon NakashimaKoblenz CH Final

Koblenz CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#143ATP
1636ELO
1584Hard ELO
$205kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 January 2024
hard
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Rodionov J.
6-7 6-1 6-2
Nakashima B.
Rodionov J.
67662
Nakashima B.
79121

Jurij Rodionov defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-7 6-1 6-2 in the Koblenz CH final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rodionov J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Rodionov J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rodionov J.Nakashima B.
Serve
61
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.9
8.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (155 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
40
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
99
Break points won·Even
17
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
45
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
54
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1584
Surface ELO
7.5+204 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1839
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
7.9
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
90

Rodionov J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast