Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Elise MertensLinz Quarter-final

Linz · WTA · Quarter-final
#400WTA
1775ELO
1742Hard ELO
35 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 January 2024
hard
#24WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-3 6-2
Mertens E.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
662
Mertens E.
320

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova defeated Elise Mertens 6-3 6-2 in the Linz quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elise Mertens came in ranked #24. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-08DohaR64hardElise Mertens6-2 6-1
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR16clayAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova3-6 7-6(3) 6-3
2017-06-26EastbourneR32grassAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova3-6 6-4 6-1
2017-04-22Fed Cup WG R1: RUS vs BELRRclayElise Mertens6-4 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Pavlyuchenkova A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Mertens E.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Pavlyuchenkova A.

Serve advantage — Mertens E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pavlyuchenkova A.Mertens E.
Serve
51
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.3
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
4.5
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 120). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
80
Break points saved·Even
87
90
Break points won·Slight edge
91
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
88
76
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1742
Surface ELO
6.3+106 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1775
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1894
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
7.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
7.8
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
81

Mertens E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
3°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 72%