Alexander Bublik vs Denis ShapovalovMontpellier Round of 16

Montpellier · ATP · Round of 16
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 January 2024
hard
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Bublik A.
1-6 7-6 6-3
Shapovalov D.
Bublik A.
171462
Shapovalov D.
661231

Alexander Bublik defeated Denis Shapovalov 1-6 7-6 6-3 in the Montpellier round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-05-03Madrid MastersR32clayAlexander Bublik6-4 5-7 6-4
2020-02-17MarseilleQFhardAlexander Bublik7-5 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Shapovalov D.
65
Serve
25
25
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.1
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.1
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (140 vs 121). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
85
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Even
67
71
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+62 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1775
6.5Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1771
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
2.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
8.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.3
Country comfort
4.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
70
98

Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Shapovalov D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
12°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 86%