Federico Coria vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPiracicaba CH Semi-final

Piracicaba CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#783ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 January 2024
clay
#294ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Coria F.
7-5 7-6
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
Coria F.
7782
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
5660

Federico Coria defeated Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 7-5 7-6 in the Piracicaba CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida came in ranked #294, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Coria F.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Pucinelli De Almeida M.

wins 54% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 107). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
67
5
Break points saved·Dominant
71
36
Break points won·Dominant
72
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
78
11
Tiebreaks·Dominant
76
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
7.2+111 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1404
7.5Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1412
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
4.0
Surface form
3.2
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
60

Coria F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast