Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Pliskova — Australian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 128
Elena Rybakina
KAZ3
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
Karolina Pliskova
CZE
Karolina Pliskova
#73WTA
1869ELO
1811Hard ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Rybakina E.
7-6 6-4
Pliskova K.
Rybakina E.
7862
Pliskova K.
6640

Elena Rybakina defeated Karolina Pliskova 7-6 6-4 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's final. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

4–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-11RomeR16clayElena Rybakina0-6 2-6
2023-02-06Abu DhabiR16hardElena Rybakina6-4 6-2
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2R64hardElena Rybakina7-6(5) 6-2
2020-02-17DubaiQFhardElena Rybakina7-6(1) 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Pliskova K.

Pliskova K.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Pliskova K.
100
Serve
—
34
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rybakina E.Pliskova K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Even
6.8
6.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
6.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (154 vs 49). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakina E.Pliskova K.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
87
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Slight edge
96
87
Deciding sets·Even
98
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
74

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Pliskova K.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.3+299 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.7Hard Elo 1811
9.2Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.8Overall Elo 1869
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.1
Surface form
3.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
6.6
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.8
Country comfort
6.6
Context
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakina E.Pliskova K.
Freshness·Slight edge
89
95

Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Pliskova K.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[2]
Zheng Q.[12]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Zheng Q.[12]
Yastremska D.
6-46-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Gauff C.[4]
7-626-4
Quarter-finals
Yastremska D.
Noskova L.
6-36-4
Zheng Q.[12]
Kalinskaya A.
6-746-36-1
Gauff C.[4]
Kostyuk M.
7-666-736-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Krejcikova B.[9]
6-26-3
R16
Noskova L.
Svitolina E.[19]
3-0
Zheng Q.[12]
Dodin O.
6-06-3
Yastremska D.
Azarenka V.[18]
7-666-4
Kostyuk M.
Timofeeva M.
6-26-1
Gauff C.[4]
Frech M.
6-16-2
Krejcikova B.[9]
Andreeva M.
4-66-36-2
Kalinskaya A.
Paolini J.[26]
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Anisimova A.
6-36-2
R32
Yastremska D.
Navarro E.[27]
6-22-66-1
Zheng Q.[12]
Wang Y.
6-42-67-68
Anisimova A.
Badosa P.
7-56-4
Noskova L.
Swiatek I.[1]
3-66-36-4
Svitolina E.[19]
Golubic V.
6-26-3
Paolini J.[26]
Blinkova A.
7-616-4
Kalinskaya A.
Stephens S.
6-786-16-4
Kostyuk M.
Avanesyan E.
2-66-46-4
Frech M.
Zakharova A.
4-67-56-4
Gauff C.[4]
Parks A.
6-06-2
Andreeva M.
Parry D.
1-66-17-65
Krejcikova B.[9]
Hunter S.
4-67-56-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Tsurenko L.[28]
6-06-0
Timofeeva M.
Haddad Maia B.[10]
7-676-3
Azarenka V.[18]
Ostapenko J.[11]
6-17-5
Dodin O.
Burel C.
6-26-4
R64
Sabalenka A.[2]
Fruhvirtova B.
6-36-2
Zheng Q.[12]
Boulter K.
6-36-3
Gauff C.[4]
Dolehide C.
7-626-2
Wang Y.
Raducanu E.
6-44-66-4
Stephens S.
Kasatkina D.[14]
4-66-36-3
Tsurenko L.[28]
Masarova R.
6-36-4
Navarro E.[27]
Cocciaretto E.
4-66-36-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Collins D.
6-43-66-4
Golubic V.
Siniakova K.
6-32-66-4
Azarenka V.[18]
Tauson C.
6-43-66-2
Kalinskaya A.
Rus A.
6-17-5
Dodin O.
Trevisan M.
6-46-4
Burel C.
Pegula J.[5]
6-46-2
Avanesyan E.
Sakkari M.[8]
6-46-4
Kostyuk M.
Mertens E.[25]
5-76-17-66
Timofeeva M.
Wozniacki C.
1-66-46-1
Haddad Maia B.[10]
Korneeva A.
6-16-2
Frech M.
Garcia C.[16]
6-47-62
Zakharova A.
Juvan K.
6-16-1
Parks A.
Fernandez L.[32]
7-56-4
Andreeva M.
Jabeur O.[6]
6-06-2
Hunter S.
Siegemund L.
6-43-66-3
Krejcikova B.[9]
Korpatsch T.
6-26-2
Anisimova A.
Podoroska N.
6-26-3
Badosa P.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-26-3
Noskova L.
Kessler M.
6-31-66-4
Parry D.
Rakhimova K.
7-56-2
Ostapenko J.[11]
Tomljanovic A.
6-03-66-4
Yastremska D.
Gracheva V.
6-36-2
Svitolina E.[19]
Tomova V.
6-16-3
Blinkova A.
Rybakina E.[3]
6-44-67-620
Paolini J.[26]
Maria T.
6-26-3
R128
Sakkari M.[8]
Hibino N.
6-46-1
Yastremska D.
Vondrousova M.[7]
6-16-2
Tomova V.
Day K.
6-46-2
Mertens E.[25]
Sherif M.
6-22-0
Wozniacki C.
Linette M.[20]
6-22-0
Rakhimova K.
Bektas E.
6-46-4
Siegemund L.
Alexandrova E.[17]
6-23-67-69
Svitolina E.[19]
Preston T.
6-26-2
Korpatsch T.
Burrage J.
2-66-36-0
Siniakova K.
Cristian J.
6-27-5
Swiatek I.[1]
Kenin S.
7-626-2
Fernandez L.[32]
Bejlek S.
7-656-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Seidel E.
6-06-1
Pegula J.[5]
Marino R.
6-26-4
Kessler M.
Ferro F.
3-66-36-2
Dodin O.
Zhu L.[29]
6-46-3
Timofeeva M.
Cornet A.
6-26-4
Rus A.
Kalinina A.[24]
6-16-0
Tauson C.
Minnen G.
7-57-5
Parry D.
Wang X.[30]
6-32-66-3
Frech M.
Saville D.
6-756-37-5
Collins D.
Kerber A.
6-23-66-1
Noskova L.
Bouzkova M.[31]
6-17-5
Ostapenko J.[11]
Birrell K.
7-656-1
Azarenka V.[18]
Giorgi C.
6-14-66-3
Navarro E.[27]
Wang X.
6-16-757-5
Rybakina E.[3]
Pliskova K.
7-666-4
Blinkova A.
Bucsa C.
6-26-4
Paolini J.[26]
Shnaider D.
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[14]
Stearns P.
6-23-66-2
Zheng Q.[12]
Krueger A.
3-66-26-3
Boulter K.
Yuan Y.
7-57-61
Wang Y.
Cirstea S.[22]
0-67-56-2
Trevisan M.
Zarazua R.
4-66-46-2
Burel C.
Krunic A.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Bai Z.
4-67-56-2
Kostyuk M.
Liu C.
6-34-66-1
Haddad Maia B.[10]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-23-66-2
Garcia C.[16]
Osaka N.
6-47-62
Juvan K.
Potapova A.[23]
6-16-4
Dolehide C.
Jeanjean L.
6-26-4
Jabeur O.[6]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-1
Andreeva M.
Pera B.
7-56-2
Hunter S.
Errani S.
6-46-3
Anisimova A.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-36-4
Badosa P.
Townsend T.
6-16-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Vekic D.[21]
6-46-4
Tsurenko L.[28]
Bronzetti L.
3-67-56-3
Parks A.
Snigur D.
2-66-26-4
Gauff C.[4]
Schmiedlova A.
6-36-0
Tomljanovic A.
Martic P.
7-634-66-4
Korneeva A.
Sorribes Tormo S.
4-66-36-2
Stephens S.
Gadecki O.
6-36-1
Cocciaretto E.
Sun L.
6-17-5
Gracheva V.
Wickmayer Y.
6-36-4
Golubic V.
Kudermetova V.[15]
7-641-66-1
Masarova R.
Sasnovich A.
6-36-4
Zakharova A.
Putintseva Y.
2-66-06-3
Maria T.
Osorio C.
7-56-746-4
Podoroska N.
Zidansek T.
6-16-0
Kalinskaya A.
Volynets K.
6-33-66-2
Raducanu E.
Rogers S.
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.[9]
Hontama M.
2-66-46-3
Fruhvirtova B.
Bogdan A.
2-66-46-3