Jasmine Paolini vs Diana Shnaider — Australian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 128
Jasmine Paolini
ITA26
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
Diana Shnaider
RUS
Diana Shnaider
#15WTA
1891ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$6.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
Paolini J.
6-3 6-4
Shnaider D.
Paolini J.
662
Shnaider D.
340

Jasmine Paolini defeated Diana Shnaider 6-3 6-4 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-06RomeQFclayJasmine Paolini6-7(1) 6-4 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Shnaider D.

Shnaider D.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Shnaider D.
31
Serve
41
55
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paolini J.Shnaider D.
1st serve in·Even
68%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (138 vs 149). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paolini J.Shnaider D.
Clutch Rating·Even
89
93
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
94
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
91
Tiebreaks·Even
93
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paolini J.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Shnaider D.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+40 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1833
5.7Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1891
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paolini J.Shnaider D.
Freshness·Clear edge
72
92

Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Shnaider D.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[2]
Zheng Q.[12]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Zheng Q.[12]
Yastremska D.
6-46-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Gauff C.[4]
7-626-4
Quarter-finals
Yastremska D.
Noskova L.
6-36-4
Zheng Q.[12]
Kalinskaya A.
6-746-36-1
Gauff C.[4]
Kostyuk M.
7-666-736-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Krejcikova B.[9]
6-26-3
R16
Noskova L.
Svitolina E.[19]
3-0
Zheng Q.[12]
Dodin O.
6-06-3
Yastremska D.
Azarenka V.[18]
7-666-4
Kostyuk M.
Timofeeva M.
6-26-1
Gauff C.[4]
Frech M.
6-16-2
Krejcikova B.[9]
Andreeva M.
4-66-36-2
Kalinskaya A.
Paolini J.[26]
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Anisimova A.
6-36-2
R32
Yastremska D.
Navarro E.[27]
6-22-66-1
Zheng Q.[12]
Wang Y.
6-42-67-68
Anisimova A.
Badosa P.
7-56-4
Noskova L.
Swiatek I.[1]
3-66-36-4
Svitolina E.[19]
Golubic V.
6-26-3
Paolini J.[26]
Blinkova A.
7-616-4
Kalinskaya A.
Stephens S.
6-786-16-4
Kostyuk M.
Avanesyan E.
2-66-46-4
Frech M.
Zakharova A.
4-67-56-4
Gauff C.[4]
Parks A.
6-06-2
Andreeva M.
Parry D.
1-66-17-65
Krejcikova B.[9]
Hunter S.
4-67-56-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Tsurenko L.[28]
6-06-0
Timofeeva M.
Haddad Maia B.[10]
7-676-3
Azarenka V.[18]
Ostapenko J.[11]
6-17-5
Dodin O.
Burel C.
6-26-4
R64
Sabalenka A.[2]
Fruhvirtova B.
6-36-2
Zheng Q.[12]
Boulter K.
6-36-3
Gauff C.[4]
Dolehide C.
7-626-2
Wang Y.
Raducanu E.
6-44-66-4
Stephens S.
Kasatkina D.[14]
4-66-36-3
Tsurenko L.[28]
Masarova R.
6-36-4
Navarro E.[27]
Cocciaretto E.
4-66-36-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Collins D.
6-43-66-4
Golubic V.
Siniakova K.
6-32-66-4
Azarenka V.[18]
Tauson C.
6-43-66-2
Kalinskaya A.
Rus A.
6-17-5
Dodin O.
Trevisan M.
6-46-4
Burel C.
Pegula J.[5]
6-46-2
Avanesyan E.
Sakkari M.[8]
6-46-4
Kostyuk M.
Mertens E.[25]
5-76-17-66
Timofeeva M.
Wozniacki C.
1-66-46-1
Haddad Maia B.[10]
Korneeva A.
6-16-2
Frech M.
Garcia C.[16]
6-47-62
Zakharova A.
Juvan K.
6-16-1
Parks A.
Fernandez L.[32]
7-56-4
Andreeva M.
Jabeur O.[6]
6-06-2
Hunter S.
Siegemund L.
6-43-66-3
Krejcikova B.[9]
Korpatsch T.
6-26-2
Anisimova A.
Podoroska N.
6-26-3
Badosa P.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-26-3
Noskova L.
Kessler M.
6-31-66-4
Parry D.
Rakhimova K.
7-56-2
Ostapenko J.[11]
Tomljanovic A.
6-03-66-4
Yastremska D.
Gracheva V.
6-36-2
Svitolina E.[19]
Tomova V.
6-16-3
Blinkova A.
Rybakina E.[3]
6-44-67-620
Paolini J.[26]
Maria T.
6-26-3
R128
Sakkari M.[8]
Hibino N.
6-46-1
Yastremska D.
Vondrousova M.[7]
6-16-2
Tomova V.
Day K.
6-46-2
Mertens E.[25]
Sherif M.
6-22-0
Wozniacki C.
Linette M.[20]
6-22-0
Rakhimova K.
Bektas E.
6-46-4
Siegemund L.
Alexandrova E.[17]
6-23-67-69
Svitolina E.[19]
Preston T.
6-26-2
Korpatsch T.
Burrage J.
2-66-36-0
Siniakova K.
Cristian J.
6-27-5
Swiatek I.[1]
Kenin S.
7-626-2
Fernandez L.[32]
Bejlek S.
7-656-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Seidel E.
6-06-1
Pegula J.[5]
Marino R.
6-26-4
Kessler M.
Ferro F.
3-66-36-2
Dodin O.
Zhu L.[29]
6-46-3
Timofeeva M.
Cornet A.
6-26-4
Rus A.
Kalinina A.[24]
6-16-0
Tauson C.
Minnen G.
7-57-5
Parry D.
Wang X.[30]
6-32-66-3
Frech M.
Saville D.
6-756-37-5
Collins D.
Kerber A.
6-23-66-1
Noskova L.
Bouzkova M.[31]
6-17-5
Ostapenko J.[11]
Birrell K.
7-656-1
Azarenka V.[18]
Giorgi C.
6-14-66-3
Navarro E.[27]
Wang X.
6-16-757-5
Rybakina E.[3]
Pliskova K.
7-666-4
Blinkova A.
Bucsa C.
6-26-4
Paolini J.[26]
Shnaider D.
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[14]
Stearns P.
6-23-66-2
Zheng Q.[12]
Krueger A.
3-66-26-3
Boulter K.
Yuan Y.
7-57-61
Wang Y.
Cirstea S.[22]
0-67-56-2
Trevisan M.
Zarazua R.
4-66-46-2
Burel C.
Krunic A.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Bai Z.
4-67-56-2
Kostyuk M.
Liu C.
6-34-66-1
Haddad Maia B.[10]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-23-66-2
Garcia C.[16]
Osaka N.
6-47-62
Juvan K.
Potapova A.[23]
6-16-4
Dolehide C.
Jeanjean L.
6-26-4
Jabeur O.[6]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-1
Andreeva M.
Pera B.
7-56-2
Hunter S.
Errani S.
6-46-3
Anisimova A.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-36-4
Badosa P.
Townsend T.
6-16-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Vekic D.[21]
6-46-4
Tsurenko L.[28]
Bronzetti L.
3-67-56-3
Parks A.
Snigur D.
2-66-26-4
Gauff C.[4]
Schmiedlova A.
6-36-0
Tomljanovic A.
Martic P.
7-634-66-4
Korneeva A.
Sorribes Tormo S.
4-66-36-2
Stephens S.
Gadecki O.
6-36-1
Cocciaretto E.
Sun L.
6-17-5
Gracheva V.
Wickmayer Y.
6-36-4
Golubic V.
Kudermetova V.[15]
7-641-66-1
Masarova R.
Sasnovich A.
6-36-4
Zakharova A.
Putintseva Y.
2-66-06-3
Maria T.
Osorio C.
7-56-746-4
Podoroska N.
Zidansek T.
6-16-0
Kalinskaya A.
Volynets K.
6-33-66-2
Raducanu E.
Rogers S.
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.[9]
Hontama M.
2-66-46-3
Fruhvirtova B.
Bogdan A.
2-66-46-3