Sumit Nagal vs Alex MolcanAustralian Open Qualifying Final

Australian Open · ATP · Qualifying Final
#241ATP
1543ELO
1476Hard ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
#101ATP
1742ELO
1653Hard ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Nagal S.
6-4 6-4
Molcan A.
Nagal S.
662
Molcan A.
440

Sumit Nagal defeated Alex Molcan 6-4 6-4 in the Australian Open qualifying final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Molcan came in ranked #101, defending last year's round of 64.

Key context

  • Match story: Sumit Nagal edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nagal S.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Molcan A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Nagal S.

Serve advantage — Molcan A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (146 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
33
79
Break points saved·Clear edge
69
90
Break points won·Dominant
35
61
Deciding sets·Dominant
16
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1476
Surface ELO
7.5+177 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1543
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1742
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
5.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
93

Nagal S.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Molcan A.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%
Q1
Svajda Z.[32]
Blockx A.
4-66-36-4
Mochizuki S.[27]
Moreno De Alboran N.
3-66-06-2
Millman J.
Giannessi A.
6-36-4
Kovacevic A.[7]
Onclin G.
6-36-797-67
Passaro F.
Martinez P.[6]
6-36-2
Hassan B.
Choinski J.
6-46-0
Gaston H.[4]
Yunchaokete B.
7-56-0
Winter E.
Agamenone F.
6-36-4
Coppejans K.
Tirante T.[16]
6-717-666-2
Valkusz M.
Wu T.
7-606-4
Harris L.[30]
Rincon D.
6-26-2
Ajdukovic D.
Blanchet U.
6-46-2
Cressy M.[19]
Hsu Y.
6-26-1
De Loore J.
Tu L.
7-6117-64
Huesler M.
Misolic F.
3-66-46-3
Sweeny D.
Gigante M.
7-637-5
Prizmic D.
Navone M.[18]
5-76-36-2
Herbert P.
Burruchaga R.
7-656-756-3
Molcan A.[14]
Brouwer G.
6-46-4
Schoolkate T.
Shimabukuro S.
5-76-46-3
Dzumhur D.
Skatov T.
4-66-36-3
De Jong J.
Brancaccio R.
6-16-2
Mensik J.
Nakashima B.[25]
6-47-64
Piros Z.[20]
Pellegrino A.
6-756-26-1
Goffin D.[8]
Travaglia S.
6-47-5
Kudla D.
Schwartzman D.[11]
7-676-4
Mayot H.
Collarini A.
7-656-3
Medjedovic H.[10]
Cecchinato M.
6-16-1
Cobolli F.[2]
Jin J.
6-26-2
Bonadio R.
Marinkov P.
7-57-62
Diallo G.[29]
Llamas Ruiz P.
7-636-1
Grenier H.
Lajal M.
6-46-2
Shelbayh A.
Droguet T.
6-26-4
Comesana F.[17]
Shimizu Y.
7-626-2
Molleker R.
Gakhov I.
6-46-4
Jacquet K.
Couacaud E.
6-32-66-2
Zeppieri G.[26]
Cuevas P.
6-06-1
Crawford O.
Ivashka I.
6-33-66-1
Harris B.
Kuzmanov D.
0-66-26-2
Sachko V.
Yevseyev D.
6-27-5
Nagal S.[28]
Blancaneaux G.
6-37-5
Dougaz A.
Bagnis F.
7-646-3
Napolitano S.
Albot R.[23]
7-57-5
Ugo Carabelli C.[31]
Jones H.
6-03-66-2
Ritschard A.
Tabur C.
7-656-3
Vavassori A.
Virtanen O.
6-06-3
Jasika O.
Svrcina D.
6-31-66-2
Nardi L.[13]
Maestrelli F.
7-56-4
Atmane T.
Cerundolo J.[15]
4-66-46-1
Rodriguez Taverna S.
Escoffier A.
6-47-66
Zhukayev B.
Kicker N.
6-16-4
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Barrios Vera T.[3]
6-37-68
Dellien H.[9]
Oliveira G.
6-46-2
Meligeni Alves F.
Mmoh M.[5]
6-16-3
Kopriva V.[24]
Hemery C.
6-36-3
Klein L.
Trungelliti M.
6-33-66-3
Bergs Z.[22]
Kolar Z.
6-26-2
Marie J.
Paire B.[12]
7-666-4
Roca Batalla O.
Sekulic P.
7-56-1
Nava E.
Darderi L.[21]
7-636-4
Fatic N.
Marchenko I.
6-47-65
Bellucci M.
Kovalik J.
6-14-67-65
Peniston R.
Ymer E.
6-14-67-67
Gaio F.
Lokoli L.
4-66-43-2