Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander ZverevAustralian Open Semi-final

Australian Open · ATP · Semi-final
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Medvedev D.
5-7 3-6 7-6 7-6 6-3
Zverev A.
Medvedev D.
53777763
Zverev A.
76646532

Daniil Medvedev defeated Alexander Zverev 5-7 3-6 7-6 7-6 6-3 in the Australian Open semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, defending last year's round of 64. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 14–7.

Key context

Head to head

137
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersQFhardAlexander Zverev2-6 6-3 7-6(5)
2025-09-25BeijingQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3
2025-06-16HalleSFgrassDaniil Medvedev7-6(3) 6-7(1) 6-4
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardDaniil Medvedev7-6(7) 6-4
2023-09-27BeijingSFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-3
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersR16hardAlexander Zverev6-4 5-7 6-4
2023-05-08Rome MastersR16clayDaniil Medvedev6-2 7-6(3)
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersR16clayDaniil Medvedev3-6 7-5 7-6(7)
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-7(5) 7-6(5) 7-5
2021-11-15Tour FinalsFhardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2021-11-15Tour FinalsRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-7(3) 7-6(6)
2021-11-01Paris MastersSFhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-2
2021-02-02Atp CupSFhardDaniil Medvedev3-6 6-3 7-5
2020-11-16Tour FinalsRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-4
2020-11-02Paris MastersFhardDaniil Medvedev5-7 6-4 6-1
2019-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev6-4 7-6(4)
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-1
2018-08-06Canada MastersR16hardAlexander Zverev6-3 6-2
2018-03-19Miami MastersR64hardAlexander Zverev6-4 1-6 7-6(5)
2017-07-31WashingtonQFhardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Zverev A.
47
Serve
71
94
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.4
8.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (157 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
94
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Slight edge
99
90
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1962
Surface ELO
5.8+79 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 2100
6.6
H2H
3.4
5.4
Surface form
7.4
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
2.0
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.5
Country comfort
5.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
85
52

Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[4]
Djokovic N.[1]
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Medvedev D.[3]
Zverev A.[6]
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7-646-46-2
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5-76-26-41-0
Lehecka J.[32]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-36-26-3
Norrie C.[19]
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Ruud C.[11]
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Struff J.[24]
Hijikata R.
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Kovacevic A.
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6-726-33-66-36-3
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Griekspoor T.[28]
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2-63-67-636-47-5
Cobolli F.
Jarry N.[18]
6-43-66-32-67-5
Etcheverry T.[30]
Murray A.
6-46-26-2
Khachanov K.[15]
Altmaier D.
5-76-37-657-63
Fils A.
Vesely J.
4-67-56-26-3
Humbert U.[21]
Goffin D.
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Djokovic N.[1]
Prizmic D.
6-26-756-36-4
Mannarino A.[20]
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6-43-65-76-36-0
Munar J.
Shevchenko A.
6-36-36-1
Oconnell C.
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3-67-54-66-17-5
Shelton B.[16]
Bautista Agut R.
6-27-627-5
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Carballes Baena R.
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Cilic M.
6-12-66-27-5
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7-637-644-66-2
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3-67-636-23-66-4
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5-76-16-16-3
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6-47-56-3
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4-66-26-36-4
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2-66-37-634-67-68
Tiafoe F.[17]
Coric B.
6-37-672-66-3
Machac T.
Mochizuki S.
7-56-17-5
Arnaldi M.
Walton A.
7-656-26-4
Kotov P.
Rinderknech A.
7-56-16-766-756-3
Halys Q.
Harris L.
4-67-657-57-62
Rune H.[8]
Nishioka Y.
6-24-67-636-4
Dimitrov G.[13]
Fucsovics M.
4-66-37-616-2
Borges N.
Marterer M.
7-57-636-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Lestienne C.
6-46-47-65
Auger Aliassime F.[27]
Thiem D.
6-37-56-755-76-3
Grenier H.
Muller A.
2-67-634-66-47-67
Ruusuvuori E.
Kypson P.
4-66-36-47-64
Zverev A.[6]
Koepfer D.
4-66-37-636-3
Michelsen A.
Mccabe J.
7-653-66-16-2
Paul T.[14]
Barrere G.
6-26-36-3
Draper J.
Giron M.
6-43-64-66-06-2
Kecmanovic M.
Watanuki Y.
4-67-56-36-4
Sonego L.
Evans D.
4-67-686-27-64
Kokkinakis T.
Ofner S.
7-612-66-746-17-68
Cerundolo F.[22]
Sweeny D.
3-66-36-42-66-2
Fritz T.[12]
Diaz Acosta F.
4-66-33-66-26-4
Rublev A.[5]
Seyboth Wild T.
7-56-43-64-67-66
Klein L.
Kwon S.
7-604-67-636-3
Eubanks C.
Daniel T.
6-46-26-3
Cazaux A.
Djere L.
6-26-736-23-66-2
Purcell M.
Valkusz M.
3-67-626-47-5
Nagal S.
Bublik A.[31]
6-46-27-65
Shang J.
Mcdonald M.
6-31-63-66-46-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Gasquet R.
7-656-16-2