Francesco Maestrelli vs Otto VirtanenTenerife CH Round of 16

Tenerife CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#149ATP
1538ELO
1551Hard ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
#126ATP
1706ELO
1674Hard ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Maestrelli F.
6-4 6-1
Virtanen O.
Maestrelli F.
662
Virtanen O.
410

Francesco Maestrelli defeated Otto Virtanen 6-4 6-1 in the Tenerife CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Otto Virtanen came in ranked #126.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Maestrelli F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Virtanen O.

Virtanen O.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.9
8.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.4
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (154 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
48
Break points saved·Slight edge
83
94
Break points won·Slight edge
14
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
57
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
80
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1551
Surface ELO
6.4+124 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1706
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
3.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
8.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
80

Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Virtanen O.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast