Luca Nardi vs Francesco Maestrelli — Australian Open Qualifying Round 1

Australian Open · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
ITA13
Luca Nardi
#160ATP
1585ELO
1572Hard ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
Francesco Maestrelli
ITA
Francesco Maestrelli
#149ATP
1538ELO
1551Hard ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Nardi L.
7-5 6-4
Maestrelli F.
Nardi L.
762
Maestrelli F.
540

Luca Nardi defeated Francesco Maestrelli 7-5 6-4 in the Australian Open qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nardi L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Maestrelli F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Nardi L.Maestrelli F.
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
5.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (140 vs 155). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nardi L.Maestrelli F.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
32
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
83
Break points won·Even
15
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
17
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nardi L.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Maestrelli F.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+21 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1551
5.7Overall Elo 1585
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
3.6
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nardi L.Maestrelli F.
Freshness·Slight edge
90
97

Nardi L.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%
Q3
Jasika O.
Shelbayh A.
2-66-16-2
Nagal S.[28]
Molcan A.[14]
6-46-4
Prizmic D.
Dougaz A.
6-36-4
Harris L.[30]
Gaston H.[4]
6-06-2
Grenier H.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
5-76-47-64
Kovacevic A.[7]
Mochizuki S.[27]
1-66-26-2
Klein L.
Napolitano S.
7-627-63
Mensik J.
Mayot H.
6-37-62
Zeppieri G.[26]
Ritschard A.
6-36-3
Valkusz M.
Vavassori A.
6-16-4
Atmane T.
Nava E.
7-657-63
Kopriva V.[24]
Crawford O.
6-46-4
De Jong J.
Ugo Carabelli C.[31]
7-633-67-67
Cobolli F.[2]
Rodriguez Taverna S.
6-46-2
Goffin D.[8]
Diallo G.[29]
3-66-36-2
Sweeny D.
Bergs Z.[22]
5-77-52-0
Q2
Mochizuki S.[27]
Schoolkate T.
6-26-4
Nava E.
Bellucci M.
6-46-3
Bergs Z.[22]
De Loore J.
7-626-0
De Jong J.
Meligeni Alves F.
7-656-1
Kovacevic A.[7]
Sachko V.
7-657-64
Cobolli F.[2]
Hassan B.
6-46-3
Nagal S.[28]
Winter E.
6-36-2
Ritschard A.
Marie J.
6-736-36-2
Crawford O.
Passaro F.
6-46-776-4
Dougaz A.
Peniston R.
6-36-2
Sweeny D.
Nardi L.[13]
7-626-2
Rodriguez Taverna S.
Piros Z.[20]
6-23-67-68
Ugo Carabelli C.[31]
Bonadio R.
6-16-4
Kopriva V.[24]
Roca Batalla O.
6-36-3
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Huesler M.
7-633-67-5
Vavassori A.
Coppejans K.
6-16-3
Zeppieri G.[26]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-2
Molcan A.[14]
Millman J.
6-46-3
Harris L.[30]
Jacquet K.
7-56-4
Gaston H.[4]
Zhukayev B.
7-636-3
Goffin D.[8]
Harris B.
3-66-36-2
Atmane T.
Fatic N.
6-33-67-5
Napolitano S.
Molleker R.
1-66-46-2
Mensik J.
Gaio F.
6-43-66-3
Klein L.
Kudla D.
6-36-726-4
Shelbayh A.
Medjedovic H.[10]
6-727-656-2
Prizmic D.
Ajdukovic D.
7-56-0
Grenier H.
Cressy M.[19]
4-66-26-3
Diallo G.[29]
Herbert P.
4-66-47-68
Valkusz M.
Comesana F.[17]
2-66-46-2
Jasika O.
Svajda Z.[32]
7-54-66-2
Mayot H.
Dellien H.[9]
6-06-3
Q1
Svajda Z.[32]
Blockx A.
4-66-36-4
Mochizuki S.[27]
Moreno De Alboran N.
3-66-06-2
Millman J.
Giannessi A.
6-36-4
Kovacevic A.[7]
Onclin G.
6-36-797-67
Passaro F.
Martinez P.[6]
6-36-2
Hassan B.
Choinski J.
6-46-0
Gaston H.[4]
Yunchaokete B.
7-56-0
Winter E.
Agamenone F.
6-36-4
Coppejans K.
Tirante T.[16]
6-717-666-2
Valkusz M.
Wu T.
7-606-4
Harris L.[30]
Rincon D.
6-26-2
Ajdukovic D.
Blanchet U.
6-46-2
Cressy M.[19]
Hsu Y.
6-26-1
De Loore J.
Tu L.
7-6117-64
Huesler M.
Misolic F.
3-66-46-3
Sweeny D.
Gigante M.
7-637-5
Prizmic D.
Navone M.[18]
5-76-36-2
Herbert P.
Burruchaga R.
7-656-756-3
Molcan A.[14]
Brouwer G.
6-46-4
Schoolkate T.
Shimabukuro S.
5-76-46-3
Dzumhur D.
Skatov T.
4-66-36-3
De Jong J.
Brancaccio R.
6-16-2
Mensik J.
Nakashima B.[25]
6-47-64
Piros Z.[20]
Pellegrino A.
6-756-26-1
Goffin D.[8]
Travaglia S.
6-47-5
Kudla D.
Schwartzman D.[11]
7-676-4
Mayot H.
Collarini A.
7-656-3
Medjedovic H.[10]
Cecchinato M.
6-16-1
Cobolli F.[2]
Jin J.
6-26-2
Bonadio R.
Marinkov P.
7-57-62
Diallo G.[29]
Llamas Ruiz P.
7-636-1
Grenier H.
Lajal M.
6-46-2
Shelbayh A.
Droguet T.
6-26-4
Comesana F.[17]
Shimizu Y.
7-626-2
Molleker R.
Gakhov I.
6-46-4
Jacquet K.
Couacaud E.
6-32-66-2
Zeppieri G.[26]
Cuevas P.
6-06-1
Crawford O.
Ivashka I.
6-33-66-1
Harris B.
Kuzmanov D.
0-66-26-2
Sachko V.
Yevseyev D.
6-27-5
Nagal S.[28]
Blancaneaux G.
6-37-5
Dougaz A.
Bagnis F.
7-646-3
Napolitano S.
Albot R.[23]
7-57-5
Ugo Carabelli C.[31]
Jones H.
6-03-66-2
Ritschard A.
Tabur C.
7-656-3
Vavassori A.
Virtanen O.
6-06-3
Jasika O.
Svrcina D.
6-31-66-2
Nardi L.[13]
Maestrelli F.
7-56-4
Atmane T.
Cerundolo J.[15]
4-66-46-1
Rodriguez Taverna S.
Escoffier A.
6-47-66
Zhukayev B.
Kicker N.
6-16-4
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Barrios Vera T.[3]
6-37-68
Dellien H.[9]
Oliveira G.
6-46-2
Meligeni Alves F.
Mmoh M.[5]
6-16-3
Kopriva V.[24]
Hemery C.
6-36-3
Klein L.
Trungelliti M.
6-33-66-3
Bergs Z.[22]
Kolar Z.
6-26-2
Marie J.
Paire B.[12]
7-666-4
Roca Batalla O.
Sekulic P.
7-56-1
Nava E.
Darderi L.[21]
7-636-4
Fatic N.
Marchenko I.
6-47-65
Bellucci M.
Kovalik J.
6-14-67-65
Peniston R.
Ymer E.
6-14-67-67
Gaio F.
Lokoli L.
4-66-43-2