Brandon Nakashima vs Francesco MaestrelliTenerife CH Quarter-final

Tenerife CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
#149ATP
1538ELO
1551Hard ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Nakashima B.
6-4 7-6
Maestrelli F.
Nakashima B.
6772
Maestrelli F.
4650

Brandon Nakashima defeated Francesco Maestrelli 6-4 7-6 in the Tenerife CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Maestrelli F.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Maestrelli F.
61
Serve
23
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.6
5.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (176 vs 154). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
56
Break points saved·Clear edge
99
83
Break points won·Even
13
14
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+237 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Hard Elo 1551
8.0Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
3.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
8.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
97

Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast