Tomas Machac vs Frances TiafoeAustralian Open Round of 64

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 64
#49ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Machac T.
6-4 6-4 7-6
Tiafoe F.
Machac T.
66773
Tiafoe F.
44650

Tomas Machac defeated Frances Tiafoe 6-4 6-4 7-6 in the Australian Open round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Tomas Machac claimed a first win over Frances Tiafoe in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-02United CupRRhardFrances Tiafoe6-3 2-4 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Machac T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Machac T.Tiafoe F.
30
Serve
38
25
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
7.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 130). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
90
83
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Clear edge
80
57
Deciding sets·Even
94
92
Tiebreaks·Even
97
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1829
Surface ELO
5.3+32 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1918
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.6
Surface form
3.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.4
Minutes 14d
8.2
4.0
3-set count
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%
R128
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Humbert U.[21]
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Mannarino A.[20]
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Shelton B.[16]
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Tiafoe F.[17]
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Machac T.
Mochizuki S.
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Arnaldi M.
Walton A.
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4-66-37-616-2
Borges N.
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Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
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Thiem D.
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Grenier H.
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Zverev A.[6]
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4-66-37-636-3
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7-653-66-16-2
Paul T.[14]
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Draper J.
Giron M.
6-43-64-66-06-2
Kecmanovic M.
Watanuki Y.
4-67-56-36-4
Sonego L.
Evans D.
4-67-686-27-64
Kokkinakis T.
Ofner S.
7-612-66-746-17-68
Cerundolo F.[22]
Sweeny D.
3-66-36-42-66-2
Fritz T.[12]
Diaz Acosta F.
4-66-33-66-26-4
Rublev A.[5]
Seyboth Wild T.
7-56-43-64-67-66
Klein L.
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7-604-67-636-3
Eubanks C.
Daniel T.
6-46-26-3
Cazaux A.
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6-26-736-23-66-2
Purcell M.
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3-67-626-47-5
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Alcaraz C.[2]
Gasquet R.
7-656-16-2