Tomas Machac vs Shintaro MochizukiAustralian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 128
#49ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Machac T.
7-5 6-1 7-5
Mochizuki S.
Machac T.
7673
Mochizuki S.
5150

Tomas Machac defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 7-5 6-1 7-5 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tomas Machac came in ranked #49, defending last year's round of 128.

Key context

  • Match story: Tomas Machac came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Machac T.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Machac T.Mochizuki S.
30
Serve
25
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
90
52
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
74
Break points won·Dominant
80
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
46
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
97
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.7+404 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.3Hard Elo 1425
9.3Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.4
Minutes 14d
9.0
4.0
3-set count
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
80

Mochizuki S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%
R128
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4-66-33-66-26-4
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