Sloane Stephens vs Daria Kasatkina — Australian Open Round of 64

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 64
Sloane Stephens
USA
Sloane Stephens
#317WTA
1683ELO
1630Hard ELO
33 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
Daria Kasatkina
AUS14
Daria Kasatkina
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Stephens S.
4-6 6-3 6-3
Kasatkina D.
Stephens S.
4662
Kasatkina D.
6331

Sloane Stephens defeated Daria Kasatkina 4-6 6-3 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65, defending last year's round of 128. Sloane Stephens extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

3–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-06Indian WellsR32hardDaria Kasatkina2-6 6-4 6-4
2021-05-17ParmaR16claySloane Stephens1-6 6-4 7-5
2018-05-28Roland GarrosQFclaySloane Stephens6-3 6-1
2018-03-05Indian WellsR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-3
2016-04-04CharlestonQFclaySloane Stephens6-1 5-7 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Stephens S.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Stephens S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Stephens S.Kasatkina D.
—
Serve
0
—
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Stephens S.Kasatkina D.
1st serve in·Even
70%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Break points saved·Even
53%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 120). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Stephens S.Kasatkina D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
63
78
Break points saved·Even
78
80
Break points won·Slight edge
90
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
55
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
74
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Stephens S.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Kasatkina D.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1630
Surface ELO
6.7+127 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1683
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1795
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
7.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Minutes 14d
3.8
4.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
4.0
Country comfort
6.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Stephens S.Kasatkina D.
Freshness·
—
89

Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[2]
Zheng Q.[12]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Zheng Q.[12]
Yastremska D.
6-46-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Gauff C.[4]
7-626-4
Quarter-finals
Yastremska D.
Noskova L.
6-36-4
Zheng Q.[12]
Kalinskaya A.
6-746-36-1
Gauff C.[4]
Kostyuk M.
7-666-736-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Krejcikova B.[9]
6-26-3
R16
Noskova L.
Svitolina E.[19]
3-0
Zheng Q.[12]
Dodin O.
6-06-3
Yastremska D.
Azarenka V.[18]
7-666-4
Kostyuk M.
Timofeeva M.
6-26-1
Gauff C.[4]
Frech M.
6-16-2
Krejcikova B.[9]
Andreeva M.
4-66-36-2
Kalinskaya A.
Paolini J.[26]
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Anisimova A.
6-36-2
R32
Yastremska D.
Navarro E.[27]
6-22-66-1
Zheng Q.[12]
Wang Y.
6-42-67-68
Anisimova A.
Badosa P.
7-56-4
Noskova L.
Swiatek I.[1]
3-66-36-4
Svitolina E.[19]
Golubic V.
6-26-3
Paolini J.[26]
Blinkova A.
7-616-4
Kalinskaya A.
Stephens S.
6-786-16-4
Kostyuk M.
Avanesyan E.
2-66-46-4
Frech M.
Zakharova A.
4-67-56-4
Gauff C.[4]
Parks A.
6-06-2
Andreeva M.
Parry D.
1-66-17-65
Krejcikova B.[9]
Hunter S.
4-67-56-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Tsurenko L.[28]
6-06-0
Timofeeva M.
Haddad Maia B.[10]
7-676-3
Azarenka V.[18]
Ostapenko J.[11]
6-17-5
Dodin O.
Burel C.
6-26-4
R64
Sabalenka A.[2]
Fruhvirtova B.
6-36-2
Zheng Q.[12]
Boulter K.
6-36-3
Gauff C.[4]
Dolehide C.
7-626-2
Wang Y.
Raducanu E.
6-44-66-4
Stephens S.
Kasatkina D.[14]
4-66-36-3
Tsurenko L.[28]
Masarova R.
6-36-4
Navarro E.[27]
Cocciaretto E.
4-66-36-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Collins D.
6-43-66-4
Golubic V.
Siniakova K.
6-32-66-4
Azarenka V.[18]
Tauson C.
6-43-66-2
Kalinskaya A.
Rus A.
6-17-5
Dodin O.
Trevisan M.
6-46-4
Burel C.
Pegula J.[5]
6-46-2
Avanesyan E.
Sakkari M.[8]
6-46-4
Kostyuk M.
Mertens E.[25]
5-76-17-66
Timofeeva M.
Wozniacki C.
1-66-46-1
Haddad Maia B.[10]
Korneeva A.
6-16-2
Frech M.
Garcia C.[16]
6-47-62
Zakharova A.
Juvan K.
6-16-1
Parks A.
Fernandez L.[32]
7-56-4
Andreeva M.
Jabeur O.[6]
6-06-2
Hunter S.
Siegemund L.
6-43-66-3
Krejcikova B.[9]
Korpatsch T.
6-26-2
Anisimova A.
Podoroska N.
6-26-3
Badosa P.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-26-3
Noskova L.
Kessler M.
6-31-66-4
Parry D.
Rakhimova K.
7-56-2
Ostapenko J.[11]
Tomljanovic A.
6-03-66-4
Yastremska D.
Gracheva V.
6-36-2
Svitolina E.[19]
Tomova V.
6-16-3
Blinkova A.
Rybakina E.[3]
6-44-67-620
Paolini J.[26]
Maria T.
6-26-3
R128
Sakkari M.[8]
Hibino N.
6-46-1
Yastremska D.
Vondrousova M.[7]
6-16-2
Tomova V.
Day K.
6-46-2
Mertens E.[25]
Sherif M.
6-22-0
Wozniacki C.
Linette M.[20]
6-22-0
Rakhimova K.
Bektas E.
6-46-4
Siegemund L.
Alexandrova E.[17]
6-23-67-69
Svitolina E.[19]
Preston T.
6-26-2
Korpatsch T.
Burrage J.
2-66-36-0
Siniakova K.
Cristian J.
6-27-5
Swiatek I.[1]
Kenin S.
7-626-2
Fernandez L.[32]
Bejlek S.
7-656-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Seidel E.
6-06-1
Pegula J.[5]
Marino R.
6-26-4
Kessler M.
Ferro F.
3-66-36-2
Dodin O.
Zhu L.[29]
6-46-3
Timofeeva M.
Cornet A.
6-26-4
Rus A.
Kalinina A.[24]
6-16-0
Tauson C.
Minnen G.
7-57-5
Parry D.
Wang X.[30]
6-32-66-3
Frech M.
Saville D.
6-756-37-5
Collins D.
Kerber A.
6-23-66-1
Noskova L.
Bouzkova M.[31]
6-17-5
Ostapenko J.[11]
Birrell K.
7-656-1
Azarenka V.[18]
Giorgi C.
6-14-66-3
Navarro E.[27]
Wang X.
6-16-757-5
Rybakina E.[3]
Pliskova K.
7-666-4
Blinkova A.
Bucsa C.
6-26-4
Paolini J.[26]
Shnaider D.
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[14]
Stearns P.
6-23-66-2
Zheng Q.[12]
Krueger A.
3-66-26-3
Boulter K.
Yuan Y.
7-57-61
Wang Y.
Cirstea S.[22]
0-67-56-2
Trevisan M.
Zarazua R.
4-66-46-2
Burel C.
Krunic A.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Bai Z.
4-67-56-2
Kostyuk M.
Liu C.
6-34-66-1
Haddad Maia B.[10]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-23-66-2
Garcia C.[16]
Osaka N.
6-47-62
Juvan K.
Potapova A.[23]
6-16-4
Dolehide C.
Jeanjean L.
6-26-4
Jabeur O.[6]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-1
Andreeva M.
Pera B.
7-56-2
Hunter S.
Errani S.
6-46-3
Anisimova A.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-36-4
Badosa P.
Townsend T.
6-16-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Vekic D.[21]
6-46-4
Tsurenko L.[28]
Bronzetti L.
3-67-56-3
Parks A.
Snigur D.
2-66-26-4
Gauff C.[4]
Schmiedlova A.
6-36-0
Tomljanovic A.
Martic P.
7-634-66-4
Korneeva A.
Sorribes Tormo S.
4-66-36-2
Stephens S.
Gadecki O.
6-36-1
Cocciaretto E.
Sun L.
6-17-5
Gracheva V.
Wickmayer Y.
6-36-4
Golubic V.
Kudermetova V.[15]
7-641-66-1
Masarova R.
Sasnovich A.
6-36-4
Zakharova A.
Putintseva Y.
2-66-06-3
Maria T.
Osorio C.
7-56-746-4
Podoroska N.
Zidansek T.
6-16-0
Kalinskaya A.
Volynets K.
6-33-66-2
Raducanu E.
Rogers S.
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.[9]
Hontama M.
2-66-46-3
Fruhvirtova B.
Bogdan A.
2-66-46-3