Dayana Yastremska vs Maya JointAustralian Open Qualifying Final

Australian Open · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#74WTA
1792ELO
1733Hard ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
#77WTA
1659ELO
1657Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
Yastremska D.
6-2 1-6 6-4
Joint M.
Yastremska D.
6162
Joint M.
2641

Dayana Yastremska defeated Maya Joint 6-2 1-6 6-4 in the Australian Open qualifying final on hard. The result followed the form book — Dayana Yastremska came in ranked #74.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Yastremska D.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Joint M.

Joint M.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Yastremska D.Joint M.
11
Serve
17
25
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
56%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
77
77
Break points saved·Clear edge
89
76
Break points won·Slight edge
92
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
63
77
Tiebreaks·
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.2+76 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1657
5.2Overall Elo 1792
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1659
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
94

Yastremska D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Joint M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q1
Yastremska D.
Boskovic L.
6-34-66-3
Grammatikopoulou V.
Kalieva E.
7-56-3
Joint M.
Stevanovic N.
6-31-67-5
Semenistaja D.
Babos T.
6-42-66-4
Zarazua R.
Fourlis J.
6-46-3
Niemeier J.
Tikhonova A.
6-746-46-2
Aiava D.
Paquet C.
6-37-65
Teichmann J.
Robbe A.
6-26-1
Volynets K.
Lamens S.
7-667-64
Zhao C.
Savinykh V.
6-37-67
Jacquemot E.
Sierra S.
6-47-5
Riera J.
Fung S.
6-16-4
Bassols Ribera M.
Wurth T.
6-06-2
Waltert S.
Marcinko P.
6-16-1
Zakharova A.
Kolodynska J.
6-16-3
Peterson R.
Eala A.
6-27-5
Andreeva E.
Mcphee K.
6-16-2
Kudermetova P.
Martinez Cirez C.
6-16-1
Uchijima M.
Makarova E.
6-26-0
Ferro F.
Sramkova R.
3-66-46-1
Abduraimova N.
Pigossi L.
5-77-56-0
Salkova D.
Fett J.
7-53-67-5
Hunter S.
Kanepi K.
6-36-2
Naef C.
Prozorova T.
6-16-0
Jeanjean L.
Rodionova A.
6-36-4
Monnet C.
Janicijevic S.
6-46-1
Bara I.
Hatouka Y.
6-25-76-3
Lys E.
Erjavec V.
6-26-3
Seidel E.
Mandlik E.
6-32-66-4
Jones F.
Rouvroy M.
6-26-4
Hartono A.
Udvardy P.
7-646-3
Baptiste H.
Mendez S.
6-36-1
Sebov K.
Arango E.
6-46-4
Bonaventure Y.
Bolsova A.
6-36-3
Marino R.
Yang Y.
7-636-0
Ponchet J.
Tararudee L.
7-654-66-1
Fruhvirtova B.
Hule P.
6-46-4
Gibson T.
Mitu C.
6-31-66-2
Ercan M.
Miyazaki Y.
6-47-65
Wei S.
Hruncakova V.
6-36-2
Bondar A.
Hsieh S.
7-636-4
Popovic I.
Lukas T.
6-36-2
Ma Y.
Bulgaru M.
7-56-2
Korneeva A.
Vickery S.
6-43-67-5
Dart H.
Brancaccio N.
6-27-64
Starodubtseva Y.
Capurro Taborda M.
6-36-0
Serban R.
Papamichail D.
7-56-2
Knutson G.
Friedsam A.
2-66-16-2
Danilovic O.
Shymanovich I.
6-26-0
Sonmez Z.
You X.
7-56-2
Jang S.
Noha Akugue N.
6-16-4
Sun L.
Watson H.
6-46-3
Inglis M.
Parrizas Diaz N.
4-66-37-5
Zavatska K.
Tan H.
6-16-3
Li A.
Martincova T.
6-746-46-4
Snigur D.
Kraus S.
6-36-0
Pattinama Kerkhove L.
Stefanini L.
6-36-3
Kawa K.
Gjorcheska L.
7-54-66-3
Raina A.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-45-77-64
Bejlek S.
Sakatsume H.
6-36-1
Sharma A.
Jorge F.
6-736-36-3
Timofeeva M.
Astakhova D.
6-26-3
Hon P.
Jones E.
6-27-5
Galfi D.
Lansere S.
3-66-46-2