Caroline Garcia vs Naomi Osaka — Australian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 128
FRA16
Caroline Garcia
#780WTA
32 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
Naomi Osaka
JPN
Naomi Osaka
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Garcia C.
6-4 7-6
Osaka N.
Garcia C.
6772
Osaka N.
4620

Caroline Garcia defeated Naomi Osaka 6-4 7-6 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Caroline Garcia narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenR128hardNaomi Osaka6-3 3-6 6-3
2024-03-18MiamiR32hardCaroline Garcia7-6(4) 7-5
2024-02-12DohaR64hardNaomi Osaka7-5 6-4
2021-02-08Australian OpenR64hardNaomi Osaka6-2 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Garcia C.serving80% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Garcia C.

Serve advantage — Osaka N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Garcia C.Osaka N.
—
Serve
70
—
Return
60

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Garcia C.Osaka N.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Even
6.3
6.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (46 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Garcia C.Osaka N.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
72
91
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
96
Break points won·Dominant
50
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
82
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Garcia C.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Osaka N.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.2
Surface form
4.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
1.8
Minutes 14d
7.6
0.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
4.8
Country comfort
6.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Garcia C.Osaka N.
Freshness·
—
82

Osaka N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[2]
Zheng Q.[12]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Zheng Q.[12]
Yastremska D.
6-46-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Gauff C.[4]
7-626-4
Quarter-finals
Yastremska D.
Noskova L.
6-36-4
Zheng Q.[12]
Kalinskaya A.
6-746-36-1
Gauff C.[4]
Kostyuk M.
7-666-736-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Krejcikova B.[9]
6-26-3
R16
Noskova L.
Svitolina E.[19]
3-0
Zheng Q.[12]
Dodin O.
6-06-3
Yastremska D.
Azarenka V.[18]
7-666-4
Kostyuk M.
Timofeeva M.
6-26-1
Gauff C.[4]
Frech M.
6-16-2
Krejcikova B.[9]
Andreeva M.
4-66-36-2
Kalinskaya A.
Paolini J.[26]
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Anisimova A.
6-36-2
R32
Yastremska D.
Navarro E.[27]
6-22-66-1
Zheng Q.[12]
Wang Y.
6-42-67-68
Anisimova A.
Badosa P.
7-56-4
Noskova L.
Swiatek I.[1]
3-66-36-4
Svitolina E.[19]
Golubic V.
6-26-3
Paolini J.[26]
Blinkova A.
7-616-4
Kalinskaya A.
Stephens S.
6-786-16-4
Kostyuk M.
Avanesyan E.
2-66-46-4
Frech M.
Zakharova A.
4-67-56-4
Gauff C.[4]
Parks A.
6-06-2
Andreeva M.
Parry D.
1-66-17-65
Krejcikova B.[9]
Hunter S.
4-67-56-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Tsurenko L.[28]
6-06-0
Timofeeva M.
Haddad Maia B.[10]
7-676-3
Azarenka V.[18]
Ostapenko J.[11]
6-17-5
Dodin O.
Burel C.
6-26-4
R64
Sabalenka A.[2]
Fruhvirtova B.
6-36-2
Zheng Q.[12]
Boulter K.
6-36-3
Gauff C.[4]
Dolehide C.
7-626-2
Wang Y.
Raducanu E.
6-44-66-4
Stephens S.
Kasatkina D.[14]
4-66-36-3
Tsurenko L.[28]
Masarova R.
6-36-4
Navarro E.[27]
Cocciaretto E.
4-66-36-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Collins D.
6-43-66-4
Golubic V.
Siniakova K.
6-32-66-4
Azarenka V.[18]
Tauson C.
6-43-66-2
Kalinskaya A.
Rus A.
6-17-5
Dodin O.
Trevisan M.
6-46-4
Burel C.
Pegula J.[5]
6-46-2
Avanesyan E.
Sakkari M.[8]
6-46-4
Kostyuk M.
Mertens E.[25]
5-76-17-66
Timofeeva M.
Wozniacki C.
1-66-46-1
Haddad Maia B.[10]
Korneeva A.
6-16-2
Frech M.
Garcia C.[16]
6-47-62
Zakharova A.
Juvan K.
6-16-1
Parks A.
Fernandez L.[32]
7-56-4
Andreeva M.
Jabeur O.[6]
6-06-2
Hunter S.
Siegemund L.
6-43-66-3
Krejcikova B.[9]
Korpatsch T.
6-26-2
Anisimova A.
Podoroska N.
6-26-3
Badosa P.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-26-3
Noskova L.
Kessler M.
6-31-66-4
Parry D.
Rakhimova K.
7-56-2
Ostapenko J.[11]
Tomljanovic A.
6-03-66-4
Yastremska D.
Gracheva V.
6-36-2
Svitolina E.[19]
Tomova V.
6-16-3
Blinkova A.
Rybakina E.[3]
6-44-67-620
Paolini J.[26]
Maria T.
6-26-3
R128
Sakkari M.[8]
Hibino N.
6-46-1
Yastremska D.
Vondrousova M.[7]
6-16-2
Tomova V.
Day K.
6-46-2
Mertens E.[25]
Sherif M.
6-22-0
Wozniacki C.
Linette M.[20]
6-22-0
Rakhimova K.
Bektas E.
6-46-4
Siegemund L.
Alexandrova E.[17]
6-23-67-69
Svitolina E.[19]
Preston T.
6-26-2
Korpatsch T.
Burrage J.
2-66-36-0
Siniakova K.
Cristian J.
6-27-5
Swiatek I.[1]
Kenin S.
7-626-2
Fernandez L.[32]
Bejlek S.
7-656-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Seidel E.
6-06-1
Pegula J.[5]
Marino R.
6-26-4
Kessler M.
Ferro F.
3-66-36-2
Dodin O.
Zhu L.[29]
6-46-3
Timofeeva M.
Cornet A.
6-26-4
Rus A.
Kalinina A.[24]
6-16-0
Tauson C.
Minnen G.
7-57-5
Parry D.
Wang X.[30]
6-32-66-3
Frech M.
Saville D.
6-756-37-5
Collins D.
Kerber A.
6-23-66-1
Noskova L.
Bouzkova M.[31]
6-17-5
Ostapenko J.[11]
Birrell K.
7-656-1
Azarenka V.[18]
Giorgi C.
6-14-66-3
Navarro E.[27]
Wang X.
6-16-757-5
Rybakina E.[3]
Pliskova K.
7-666-4
Blinkova A.
Bucsa C.
6-26-4
Paolini J.[26]
Shnaider D.
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[14]
Stearns P.
6-23-66-2
Zheng Q.[12]
Krueger A.
3-66-26-3
Boulter K.
Yuan Y.
7-57-61
Wang Y.
Cirstea S.[22]
0-67-56-2
Trevisan M.
Zarazua R.
4-66-46-2
Burel C.
Krunic A.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Bai Z.
4-67-56-2
Kostyuk M.
Liu C.
6-34-66-1
Haddad Maia B.[10]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-23-66-2
Garcia C.[16]
Osaka N.
6-47-62
Juvan K.
Potapova A.[23]
6-16-4
Dolehide C.
Jeanjean L.
6-26-4
Jabeur O.[6]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-1
Andreeva M.
Pera B.
7-56-2
Hunter S.
Errani S.
6-46-3
Anisimova A.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-36-4
Badosa P.
Townsend T.
6-16-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Vekic D.[21]
6-46-4
Tsurenko L.[28]
Bronzetti L.
3-67-56-3
Parks A.
Snigur D.
2-66-26-4
Gauff C.[4]
Schmiedlova A.
6-36-0
Tomljanovic A.
Martic P.
7-634-66-4
Korneeva A.
Sorribes Tormo S.
4-66-36-2
Stephens S.
Gadecki O.
6-36-1
Cocciaretto E.
Sun L.
6-17-5
Gracheva V.
Wickmayer Y.
6-36-4
Golubic V.
Kudermetova V.[15]
7-641-66-1
Masarova R.
Sasnovich A.
6-36-4
Zakharova A.
Putintseva Y.
2-66-06-3
Maria T.
Osorio C.
7-56-746-4
Podoroska N.
Zidansek T.
6-16-0
Kalinskaya A.
Volynets K.
6-33-66-2
Raducanu E.
Rogers S.
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.[9]
Hontama M.
2-66-46-3
Fruhvirtova B.
Bogdan A.
2-66-46-3