David Goffin vs Gabriel DialloAustralian Open Qualifying Final

Australian Open · ATP · Qualifying Final
#241ATP
1665ELO
1626Hard ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
#88ATP
1716ELO
1678Hard ELO
$480kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
Goffin D.
3-6 6-3 6-2
Diallo G.
Goffin D.
3662
Diallo G.
6321

David Goffin defeated Gabriel Diallo 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the Australian Open qualifying final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Gabriel Diallo came in ranked #88, leading the head-to-head 1–0. David Goffin claimed a first win over Gabriel Diallo in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR32hardGabriel Diallo3-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Goffin D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Diallo G.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Goffin D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Goffin D.Diallo G.
12
Serve
38
43
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
8.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (125 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
82
64
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Dominant
64
24
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
87
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1626
Surface ELO
5.7+53 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1716
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
7.1
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
5.7
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.4
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
85

Goffin D.: 20 days rest · Diallo G.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%
Q1
Svajda Z.[32]
Blockx A.
4-66-36-4
Mochizuki S.[27]
Moreno De Alboran N.
3-66-06-2
Millman J.
Giannessi A.
6-36-4
Kovacevic A.[7]
Onclin G.
6-36-797-67
Passaro F.
Martinez P.[6]
6-36-2
Hassan B.
Choinski J.
6-46-0
Gaston H.[4]
Yunchaokete B.
7-56-0
Winter E.
Agamenone F.
6-36-4
Coppejans K.
Tirante T.[16]
6-717-666-2
Valkusz M.
Wu T.
7-606-4
Harris L.[30]
Rincon D.
6-26-2
Ajdukovic D.
Blanchet U.
6-46-2
Cressy M.[19]
Hsu Y.
6-26-1
De Loore J.
Tu L.
7-6117-64
Huesler M.
Misolic F.
3-66-46-3
Sweeny D.
Gigante M.
7-637-5
Prizmic D.
Navone M.[18]
5-76-36-2
Herbert P.
Burruchaga R.
7-656-756-3
Molcan A.[14]
Brouwer G.
6-46-4
Schoolkate T.
Shimabukuro S.
5-76-46-3
Dzumhur D.
Skatov T.
4-66-36-3
De Jong J.
Brancaccio R.
6-16-2
Mensik J.
Nakashima B.[25]
6-47-64
Piros Z.[20]
Pellegrino A.
6-756-26-1
Goffin D.[8]
Travaglia S.
6-47-5
Kudla D.
Schwartzman D.[11]
7-676-4
Mayot H.
Collarini A.
7-656-3
Medjedovic H.[10]
Cecchinato M.
6-16-1
Cobolli F.[2]
Jin J.
6-26-2
Bonadio R.
Marinkov P.
7-57-62
Diallo G.[29]
Llamas Ruiz P.
7-636-1
Grenier H.
Lajal M.
6-46-2
Shelbayh A.
Droguet T.
6-26-4
Comesana F.[17]
Shimizu Y.
7-626-2
Molleker R.
Gakhov I.
6-46-4
Jacquet K.
Couacaud E.
6-32-66-2
Zeppieri G.[26]
Cuevas P.
6-06-1
Crawford O.
Ivashka I.
6-33-66-1
Harris B.
Kuzmanov D.
0-66-26-2
Sachko V.
Yevseyev D.
6-27-5
Nagal S.[28]
Blancaneaux G.
6-37-5
Dougaz A.
Bagnis F.
7-646-3
Napolitano S.
Albot R.[23]
7-57-5
Ugo Carabelli C.[31]
Jones H.
6-03-66-2
Ritschard A.
Tabur C.
7-656-3
Vavassori A.
Virtanen O.
6-06-3
Jasika O.
Svrcina D.
6-31-66-2
Nardi L.[13]
Maestrelli F.
7-56-4
Atmane T.
Cerundolo J.[15]
4-66-46-1
Rodriguez Taverna S.
Escoffier A.
6-47-66
Zhukayev B.
Kicker N.
6-16-4
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Barrios Vera T.[3]
6-37-68
Dellien H.[9]
Oliveira G.
6-46-2
Meligeni Alves F.
Mmoh M.[5]
6-16-3
Kopriva V.[24]
Hemery C.
6-36-3
Klein L.
Trungelliti M.
6-33-66-3
Bergs Z.[22]
Kolar Z.
6-26-2
Marie J.
Paire B.[12]
7-666-4
Roca Batalla O.
Sekulic P.
7-56-1
Nava E.
Darderi L.[21]
7-636-4
Fatic N.
Marchenko I.
6-47-65
Bellucci M.
Kovalik J.
6-14-67-65
Peniston R.
Ymer E.
6-14-67-67
Gaio F.
Lokoli L.
4-66-43-2