Jasmine Paolini vs Anna BlinkovaAustralian Open Round of 32

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 32
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
#114WTA
1694ELO
1654Hard ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
Paolini J.
7-6 6-4
Blinkova A.
Paolini J.
7762
Blinkova A.
6140

Jasmine Paolini defeated Anna Blinkova 7-6 6-4 in the Australian Open round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, defending last year's round of 128. Jasmine Paolini claimed a first win over Anna Blinkova in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-10Cluj NapocaFhardAnna Blinkova6-2 3-6 6-2
2020-01-20Australian OpenR128hardAnna Blinkova7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Blinkova A.

Blinkova A.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Blinkova A.
31
Serve
0
55
Return
47

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
53%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (138 vs 127). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
66
Break points saved·Dominant
87
58
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
68
Tiebreaks·Even
93
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+218 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1654
8.1Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1694
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.1
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
7.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
67

Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Blinkova A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw

R128
Sakkari M.[8]
Hibino N.
6-46-1
Yastremska D.
Vondrousova M.[7]
6-16-2
Tomova V.
Day K.
6-46-2
Mertens E.[25]
Sherif M.
6-22-0
Wozniacki C.
Linette M.[20]
6-22-0
Rakhimova K.
Bektas E.
6-46-4
Siegemund L.
Alexandrova E.[17]
6-23-67-69
Svitolina E.[19]
Preston T.
6-26-2
Korpatsch T.
Burrage J.
2-66-36-0
Siniakova K.
Cristian J.
6-27-5
Swiatek I.[1]
Kenin S.
7-626-2
Fernandez L.[32]
Bejlek S.
7-656-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Seidel E.
6-06-1
Pegula J.[5]
Marino R.
6-26-4
Kessler M.
Ferro F.
3-66-36-2
Dodin O.
Zhu L.[29]
6-46-3
Timofeeva M.
Cornet A.
6-26-4
Rus A.
Kalinina A.[24]
6-16-0
Tauson C.
Minnen G.
7-57-5
Parry D.
Wang X.[30]
6-32-66-3
Frech M.
Saville D.
6-756-37-5
Collins D.
Kerber A.
6-23-66-1
Noskova L.
Bouzkova M.[31]
6-17-5
Ostapenko J.[11]
Birrell K.
7-656-1
Azarenka V.[18]
Giorgi C.
6-14-66-3
Navarro E.[27]
Wang X.
6-16-757-5
Rybakina E.[3]
Pliskova K.
7-666-4
Blinkova A.
Bucsa C.
6-26-4
Paolini J.[26]
Shnaider D.
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[14]
Stearns P.
6-23-66-2
Zheng Q.[12]
Krueger A.
3-66-26-3
Boulter K.
Yuan Y.
7-57-61
Wang Y.
Cirstea S.[22]
0-67-56-2
Trevisan M.
Zarazua R.
4-66-46-2
Burel C.
Krunic A.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Bai Z.
4-67-56-2
Kostyuk M.
Liu C.
6-34-66-1
Haddad Maia B.[10]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-23-66-2
Garcia C.[16]
Osaka N.
6-47-62
Juvan K.
Potapova A.[23]
6-16-4
Dolehide C.
Jeanjean L.
6-26-4
Jabeur O.[6]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-1
Andreeva M.
Pera B.
7-56-2
Hunter S.
Errani S.
6-46-3
Anisimova A.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-36-4
Badosa P.
Townsend T.
6-16-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Vekic D.[21]
6-46-4
Tsurenko L.[28]
Bronzetti L.
3-67-56-3
Parks A.
Snigur D.
2-66-26-4
Gauff C.[4]
Schmiedlova A.
6-36-0
Tomljanovic A.
Martic P.
7-634-66-4
Korneeva A.
Sorribes Tormo S.
4-66-36-2
Stephens S.
Gadecki O.
6-36-1
Cocciaretto E.
Sun L.
6-17-5
Gracheva V.
Wickmayer Y.
6-36-4
Golubic V.
Kudermetova V.[15]
7-641-66-1
Masarova R.
Sasnovich A.
6-36-4
Zakharova A.
Putintseva Y.
2-66-06-3
Maria T.
Osorio C.
7-56-746-4
Podoroska N.
Zidansek T.
6-16-0
Kalinskaya A.
Volynets K.
6-33-66-2
Raducanu E.
Rogers S.
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.[9]
Hontama M.
2-66-46-3
Fruhvirtova B.
Bogdan A.
2-66-46-3