Ella Seidel vs Hailey Baptiste — Australian Open Qualifying Final

Australian Open · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
Ella Seidel
GER
Ella Seidel
#99WTA
1616ELO
1614Hard ELO
21 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
Hailey Baptiste
USA
Hailey Baptiste
#33WTA
1844ELO
1781Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$3.6MCAREER
24 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Seidel E.
6-0 6-4
Baptiste H.
Seidel E.
662
Baptiste H.
04–

Ella Seidel defeated Hailey Baptiste 6-0 6-4 in the Australian Open qualifying final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Hailey Baptiste came in ranked #33.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Seidel E.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Baptiste H.

Baptiste H.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Seidel E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Seidel E.Baptiste H.
20
Serve
40
9
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Seidel E.Baptiste H.
1st serve in·Even
59%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
4.6
Double faults / match·Even
4.1
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (136 vs 129). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Seidel E.Baptiste H.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
52
83
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
93
Break points won·Slight edge
70
79
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
88
Tiebreaks·Even
89
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Seidel E.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Baptiste H.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1614
Surface ELO
6.8+167 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1616
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1844
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
Surface form
5.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.8
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Seidel E.Baptiste H.
Freshness·
98
—

Seidel E.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q3
Yastremska D.
Joint M.
6-21-66-4
Zarazua R.
Aiava D.
6-756-36-4
Volynets K.
Riera J.
3-67-647-5
Zakharova A.
Waltert S.
7-616-1
Ferro F.
Kudermetova P.
6-33-66-3
Hunter S.
Salkova D.
3-66-36-4
Jeanjean L.
Lys E.
2-67-646-3
Seidel E.
Baptiste H.
6-06-4
Marino R.
Sebov K.
2-0
Fruhvirtova B.
Wei S.
6-26-4
Korneeva A.
Bondar A.
6-36-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Knutson G.
6-41-67-64
Sun L.
Sonmez Z.
6-43-66-2
Snigur D.
Inglis M.
6-25-76-3
Bejlek S.
Pattinama Kerkhove L.
6-36-4
Timofeeva M.
Hon P.
6-24-66-1
Q2
Joint M.
Semenistaja D.
6-17-64
Yastremska D.
Grammatikopoulou V.
6-43-66-4
Zarazua R.
Niemeier J.
6-45-77-69
Aiava D.
Teichmann J.
2-67-56-1
Volynets K.
Zhao C.
6-36-1
Riera J.
Jacquemot E.
6-46-2
Waltert S.
Bassols Ribera M.
2-66-16-3
Zakharova A.
Peterson R.
6-42-66-4
Kudermetova P.
Andreeva E.
6-36-2
Ferro F.
Uchijima M.
6-46-1
Salkova D.
Abduraimova N.
7-56-4
Hunter S.
Naef C.
6-37-64
Jeanjean L.
Monnet C.
6-14-66-2
Lys E.
Bara I.
6-16-2
Seidel E.
Jones F.
6-36-754-4
Baptiste H.
Hartono A.
6-26-4
Sebov K.
Bonaventure Y.
6-756-44-0
Marino R.
Ponchet J.
6-756-46-2
Fruhvirtova B.
Gibson T.
1-66-37-5
Wei S.
Ercan M.
W/O
Bondar A.
Popovic I.
6-46-4
Korneeva A.
Ma Y.
5-76-47-65
Starodubtseva Y.
Dart H.
6-46-4
Knutson G.
Serban R.
6-15-76-1
Sonmez Z.
Danilovic O.
4-66-16-1
Sun L.
Jang S.
6-11-66-4
Inglis M.
Zavatska K.
7-636-3
Snigur D.
Li A.
6-46-2
Pattinama Kerkhove L.
Kawa K.
6-46-1
Bejlek S.
Raina A.
6-17-5
Timofeeva M.
Sharma A.
6-26-4
Hon P.
Galfi D.
4-66-36-4
Q1
Yastremska D.
Boskovic L.
6-34-66-3
Grammatikopoulou V.
Kalieva E.
7-56-3
Joint M.
Stevanovic N.
6-31-67-5
Semenistaja D.
Babos T.
6-42-66-4
Zarazua R.
Fourlis J.
6-46-3
Niemeier J.
Tikhonova A.
6-746-46-2
Aiava D.
Paquet C.
6-37-65
Teichmann J.
Robbe A.
6-26-1
Volynets K.
Lamens S.
7-667-64
Zhao C.
Savinykh V.
6-37-67
Jacquemot E.
Sierra S.
6-47-5
Riera J.
Fung S.
6-16-4
Bassols Ribera M.
Wurth T.
6-06-2
Waltert S.
Marcinko P.
6-16-1
Zakharova A.
Kolodynska J.
6-16-3
Peterson R.
Eala A.
6-27-5
Andreeva E.
Mcphee K.
6-16-2
Kudermetova P.
Martinez Cirez C.
6-16-1
Uchijima M.
Makarova E.
6-26-0
Ferro F.
Sramkova R.
3-66-46-1
Abduraimova N.
Pigossi L.
5-77-56-0
Salkova D.
Fett J.
7-53-67-5
Hunter S.
Kanepi K.
6-36-2
Naef C.
Prozorova T.
6-16-0
Jeanjean L.
Rodionova A.
6-36-4
Monnet C.
Janicijevic S.
6-46-1
Bara I.
Hatouka Y.
6-25-76-3
Lys E.
Erjavec V.
6-26-3
Seidel E.
Mandlik E.
6-32-66-4
Jones F.
Rouvroy M.
6-26-4
Hartono A.
Udvardy P.
7-646-3
Baptiste H.
Mendez S.
6-36-1
Sebov K.
Arango E.
6-46-4
Bonaventure Y.
Bolsova A.
6-36-3
Marino R.
Yang Y.
7-636-0
Ponchet J.
Tararudee L.
7-654-66-1
Fruhvirtova B.
Hule P.
6-46-4
Gibson T.
Mitu C.
6-31-66-2
Ercan M.
Miyazaki Y.
6-47-65
Wei S.
Hruncakova V.
6-36-2
Bondar A.
Hsieh S.
7-636-4
Popovic I.
Lukas T.
6-36-2
Ma Y.
Bulgaru M.
7-56-2
Korneeva A.
Vickery S.
6-43-67-5
Dart H.
Brancaccio N.
6-27-64
Starodubtseva Y.
Capurro Taborda M.
6-36-0
Serban R.
Papamichail D.
7-56-2
Knutson G.
Friedsam A.
2-66-16-2
Danilovic O.
Shymanovich I.
6-26-0
Sonmez Z.
You X.
7-56-2
Jang S.
Noha Akugue N.
6-16-4
Sun L.
Watson H.
6-46-3
Inglis M.
Parrizas Diaz N.
4-66-37-5
Zavatska K.
Tan H.
6-16-3
Li A.
Martincova T.
6-746-46-4
Snigur D.
Kraus S.
6-36-0
Pattinama Kerkhove L.
Stefanini L.
6-36-3
Kawa K.
Gjorcheska L.
7-54-66-3
Raina A.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-45-77-64
Bejlek S.
Sakatsume H.
6-36-1
Sharma A.
Jorge F.
6-736-36-3
Timofeeva M.
Astakhova D.
6-26-3
Hon P.
Jones E.
6-27-5
Galfi D.
Lansere S.
3-66-46-2