Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti — Australian Open Round of 64

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 64
Luca Van Assche
FRA
Luca Van Assche
#80ATP
1701ELO
1681Hard ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA25
Lorenzo Musetti
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Van Assche L.
6-3 3-6 6-7 6-3 6-0
Musetti L.
Van Assche L.
6365663
Musetti L.
3677302

Luca Van Assche defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 3-6 6-7 6-3 6-0 in the Australian Open round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, defending last year's round of 128, but Luca Van Assche had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Van Assche L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Van Assche L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Van Assche L.Musetti L.
—
Serve
54
—
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Van Assche L.Musetti L.
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.3
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (168 vs 155). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Van Assche L.Musetti L.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
98
Break points won·Clear edge
61
82
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
51
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Van Assche L.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Musetti L.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1681
Surface ELO
7.7+122 Hard Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1701
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 1869
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
3.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.6
Minutes 14d
5.5
4.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Van Assche L.Musetti L.
Freshness·
99
—

Van Assche L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%
Final
Sinner J.[4]
Medvedev D.[3]
3-63-66-46-46-3
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[4]
Djokovic N.[1]
6-16-26-766-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Zverev A.[6]
5-73-67-647-656-3
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[4]
Rublev A.[5]
6-47-656-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Hurkacz H.[9]
7-642-66-35-76-4
Zverev A.[6]
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-16-36-726-4
Djokovic N.[1]
Fritz T.[12]
7-634-66-26-3
R16
Fritz T.[12]
Tsitsipas S.[7]
7-635-76-36-3
Sinner J.[4]
Khachanov K.[15]
6-47-56-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Borges N.
6-37-645-76-1
Alcaraz C.[2]
Kecmanovic M.
6-46-46-0
Djokovic N.[1]
Mannarino A.[20]
6-06-06-3
Rublev A.[5]
De Minaur A.[10]
6-46-756-746-36-0
Hurkacz H.[9]
Cazaux A.
7-667-636-4
Zverev A.[6]
Norrie C.[19]
7-53-66-34-67-63
R32
Khachanov K.[15]
Machac T.
6-47-644-67-65
Rublev A.[5]
Korda S.[29]
6-27-666-4
Cazaux A.
Griekspoor T.[28]
6-36-36-1
Alcaraz C.[2]
Shang J.
6-16-11-0
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Van Assche L.
6-36-06-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Auger Aliassime F.[27]
6-36-46-3
Kecmanovic M.
Paul T.[14]
6-43-62-67-676-0
De Minaur A.[10]
Cobolli F.
6-36-36-1
Borges N.
Dimitrov G.[13]
6-736-46-27-66
Mannarino A.[20]
Shelton B.[16]
7-641-66-726-36-4
Fritz T.[12]
Marozsan F.
3-66-46-26-2
Sinner J.[4]
Baez S.[26]
6-06-16-3
Hurkacz H.[9]
Humbert U.[21]
3-66-17-646-3
Zverev A.[6]
Michelsen A.
6-27-646-2
Djokovic N.[1]
Etcheverry T.[30]
6-36-37-62
Norrie C.[19]
Ruud C.[11]
6-46-776-46-3
R64
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Thompson J.
4-67-666-27-64
Sinner J.[4]
De Jong J.
6-26-26-2
Baez S.[26]
Galan D.
7-52-66-26-4
Humbert U.[21]
Zhang Z.
6-25-76-17-63
Norrie C.[19]
Zeppieri G.
3-66-746-26-46-4
Hurkacz H.[9]
Mensik J.
6-796-15-76-16-3
Kecmanovic M.
Struff J.[24]
6-41-67-651-67-69
Fritz T.[12]
Gaston H.
6-06-36-1
Cazaux A.
Rune H.[8]
7-646-44-66-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Sonego L.
6-46-736-37-63
Etcheverry T.[30]
Monfils G.
6-46-46-4
Mannarino A.[20]
Munar J.
6-36-31-62-66-3
Shelton B.[16]
Oconnell C.
6-46-13-67-65
Van Assche L.
Musetti L.[25]
6-33-66-756-36-0
Khachanov K.[15]
Kovacevic A.
6-46-34-66-3
De Minaur A.[10]
Arnaldi M.
6-36-06-3
Cobolli F.
Kotov P.
7-56-35-76-2
Korda S.[29]
Halys Q.
6-46-46-4
Rublev A.[5]
Eubanks C.
6-46-46-4
Dimitrov G.[13]
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-24-66-4
Borges N.
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
7-676-36-3
Auger Aliassime F.[27]
Grenier H.
6-13-66-16-2
Zverev A.[6]
Klein L.
7-53-64-67-657-67
Michelsen A.
Lehecka J.[32]
4-66-36-46-4
Ruud C.[11]
Purcell M.
6-36-756-33-67-67
Paul T.[14]
Draper J.
6-23-66-37-5
Shang J.
Nagal S.
2-66-37-56-4
Griekspoor T.[28]
Fils A.
3-66-17-56-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Ruusuvuori E.
3-66-716-47-616-0
Marozsan F.
Cerundolo F.[22]
7-656-46-2
Machac T.
Tiafoe F.[17]
6-46-47-65
Djokovic N.[1]
Popyrin A.
6-34-67-646-3
R128
Popyrin A.
Polmans M.
6-37-636-2
Monfils G.
Hanfmann Y.
6-46-37-5
Baez S.[26]
Wolf J.
3-66-26-33-0
De Minaur A.[10]
Raonic M.
6-766-32-0
Korda S.[29]
Kopriva V.
6-16-42-64-66-2
Zhang Z.
Coria F.
6-47-637-65
Mensik J.
Shapovalov D.
6-37-57-5
Hurkacz H.[9]
Jasika O.
7-646-46-2
Medvedev D.[3]
Atmane T.
5-76-26-41-0
Lehecka J.[32]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-36-26-3
Norrie C.[19]
Varillas J.
6-46-46-2
Ruud C.[11]
Ramos A.
6-16-36-1
Struff J.[24]
Hijikata R.
3-66-36-26-727-68
Kovacevic A.
Tabilo A.
6-727-671-66-16-3
Van Assche L.
Duckworth J.
6-726-33-66-36-3
Zeppieri G.
Lajovic D.
6-33-66-37-63
Griekspoor T.[28]
Safiullin R.
2-63-67-636-47-5
Cobolli F.
Jarry N.[18]
6-43-66-32-67-5
Etcheverry T.[30]
Murray A.
6-46-26-2
Khachanov K.[15]
Altmaier D.
5-76-37-657-63
Fils A.
Vesely J.
4-67-56-26-3
Humbert U.[21]
Goffin D.
6-27-55-76-3
Djokovic N.[1]
Prizmic D.
6-26-756-36-4
Mannarino A.[20]
Wawrinka S.
6-43-65-76-36-0
Munar J.
Shevchenko A.
6-36-36-1
Oconnell C.
Garin C.
3-67-54-66-17-5
Shelton B.[16]
Bautista Agut R.
6-27-627-5
Gaston H.
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-23-66-4
Marozsan F.
Cilic M.
6-12-66-27-5
Musetti L.[25]
Bonzi B.
7-637-644-66-2
Thompson J.
Vukic A.
3-67-636-23-66-4
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Bergs Z.
5-76-16-16-3
Sinner J.[4]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-47-56-3
De Jong J.
Cachin P.
4-66-26-36-4
Galan D.
Kubler J.
2-66-37-634-67-68
Tiafoe F.[17]
Coric B.
6-37-672-66-3
Machac T.
Mochizuki S.
7-56-17-5
Arnaldi M.
Walton A.
7-656-26-4
Kotov P.
Rinderknech A.
7-56-16-766-756-3
Halys Q.
Harris L.
4-67-657-57-62
Rune H.[8]
Nishioka Y.
6-24-67-636-4
Dimitrov G.[13]
Fucsovics M.
4-66-37-616-2
Borges N.
Marterer M.
7-57-636-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Lestienne C.
6-46-47-65
Auger Aliassime F.[27]
Thiem D.
6-37-56-755-76-3
Grenier H.
Muller A.
2-67-634-66-47-67
Ruusuvuori E.
Kypson P.
4-66-36-47-64
Zverev A.[6]
Koepfer D.
4-66-37-636-3
Michelsen A.
Mccabe J.
7-653-66-16-2
Paul T.[14]
Barrere G.
6-26-36-3
Draper J.
Giron M.
6-43-64-66-06-2
Kecmanovic M.
Watanuki Y.
4-67-56-36-4
Sonego L.
Evans D.
4-67-686-27-64
Kokkinakis T.
Ofner S.
7-612-66-746-17-68
Cerundolo F.[22]
Sweeny D.
3-66-36-42-66-2
Fritz T.[12]
Diaz Acosta F.
4-66-33-66-26-4
Rublev A.[5]
Seyboth Wild T.
7-56-43-64-67-66
Klein L.
Kwon S.
7-604-67-636-3
Eubanks C.
Daniel T.
6-46-26-3
Cazaux A.
Djere L.
6-26-736-23-66-2
Purcell M.
Valkusz M.
3-67-626-47-5
Nagal S.
Bublik A.[31]
6-46-27-65
Shang J.
Mcdonald M.
6-31-63-66-46-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Gasquet R.
7-656-16-2