Matteo Arnaldi vs Adam WaltonAustralian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 128
#35ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
#85ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWWL
Arnaldi M.
7-6 6-2 6-4
Walton A.
Arnaldi M.
77663
Walton A.
65240

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Adam Walton 7-6 6-2 6-4 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35.

Key context

  • Match story: Matteo Arnaldi closed it out in three sets, 7–6 6–2 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Walton A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — Walton A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arnaldi M.Walton A.
23
Serve
35
22
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Even
6.3
6.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
65
Break points saved·Even
97
95
Break points won·Dominant
51
20
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+63 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1669
5.8Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1703
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
5.2
Fatigue & Travel
2.1
Minutes 14d
6.3
0.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
7.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
94
62

Arnaldi M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Walton A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%
R128
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