Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaAdelaide Quarter-final

Adelaide · WTA · Quarter-final
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
#128WTA
1775ELO
1742Hard ELO
35 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLL
Pegula J.
6-7 7-5 6-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Pegula J.
61762
Pavlyuchenkova A.
77541

Jessica Pegula defeated Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-7 7-5 6-4 in the Adelaide quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-08-09MontrealR32hardJessica Pegula1-6 6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Pavlyuchenkova A.

Pavlyuchenkova A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Pavlyuchenkova A.
68
Serve
73
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (151 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
85
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
87
Break points won·Slight edge
99
91
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.9+316 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Hard Elo 1742
9.0Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1775
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.8
Surface form
4.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
8.8
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 62%