Sebastian Ofner vs Denis ShapovalovAuckland Round of 32

Auckland · ATP · Round of 32
#110ATP
1713ELO
1655Hard ELO
$345kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Ofner S.
6-4 6-2
Shapovalov D.
Ofner S.
662
Shapovalov D.
420

Sebastian Ofner defeated Denis Shapovalov 6-4 6-2 in the Auckland round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #41.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ofner S.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Ofner S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ofner S.Shapovalov D.
Serve
25
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Even
7.9
8.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (112 vs 121). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
85
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
99
Break points won·Dominant
43
71
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
92
Tiebreaks·Even
85
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 189 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1655
Surface ELO
6.8+120 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1713
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1771
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
3.9
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
73
98

Ofner S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Shapovalov D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 71%