Dmitry Popko vs Joao FonsecaBuenos Aires CH Semi-final

Buenos Aires CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#629ATP
1385ELO
1334Clay ELO
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
clay
#27ATP
1928ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Popko D.
6-2 6-4
Fonseca J.
Popko D.
662
Fonseca J.
240

Dmitry Popko defeated Joao Fonseca 6-2 6-4 in the Buenos Aires CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Popko D.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Fonseca J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Popko D.

Serve advantage — Fonseca J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Popko D.Fonseca J.
Serve
64
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (124 vs 129). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
3
76
Break points saved·Dominant
54
97
Break points won·Dominant
17
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
6
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
2.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1334
Surface ELO
10.0+522 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1385
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1928
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
6.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
94

Popko D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Fonseca J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast