Taro Daniel vs Alexandre Muller — Auckland Quarter-final

Auckland · ATP · Quarter-final
Taro Daniel
JPN
Taro Daniel
#203ATP
1567ELO
1512Hard ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
Alexandre Muller
FRA
Alexandre Muller
#126ATP
1665ELO
1630Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Daniel T.
6-4 6-7 6-3
Muller A.
Daniel T.
66362
Muller A.
47731

Taro Daniel defeated Alexandre Muller 6-4 6-7 6-3 in the Auckland quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexandre Muller came in ranked #126.

Key context

  • Match story: Taro Daniel closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Daniel T.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Muller A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Daniel T.

Serve advantage — Muller A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Daniel T.Muller A.
—
Serve
11
—
Return
13

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Daniel T.Muller A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (132 vs 141). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Daniel T.Muller A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
75
Break points saved·Even
93
94
Break points won·Slight edge
37
44
Deciding sets·Dominant
16
95
Tiebreaks·Even
81
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Daniel T.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Muller A.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1512
Surface ELO
7.2+118 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1567
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1665
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Daniel T.Muller A.
Freshness·Dominant
67
98

Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Muller A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 71%
Final
Tabilo A.
Daniel T.
6-27-5
Semi-finals
Daniel T.
Shelton B.[1]
7-57-69
Tabilo A.
Fils A.[6]
6-27-5
Quarter-finals
Fils A.[6]
Altmaier D.
7-621-0
Tabilo A.
Norrie C.[2]
W/O
Daniel T.
Muller A.
6-46-736-3
Shelton B.[1]
Carballes Baena R.
6-46-3
R16
Shelton B.[1]
Marozsan F.
6-36-4
Muller A.
Cerundolo F.[3]
6-16-1
Daniel T.
Purcell M.[8]
6-26-4
Fils A.[6]
Borges N.
6-26-0
Altmaier D.
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
7-697-5
Norrie C.[2]
Van Assche L.
6-36-766-1
Carballes Baena R.
Ofner S.[7]
7-56-3
Tabilo A.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-56-3
R32
Tabilo A.
Gojo B.
1-66-36-2
Altmaier D.
Giron M.
7-656-2
Marozsan F.
Monfils G.
6-46-767-64
Carballes Baena R.
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-3
Ofner S.[7]
Shapovalov D.
6-46-2
Muller A.
Bonzi B.
6-37-5
Daniel T.
Vukic A.
7-57-5
Purcell M.[8]
Pannu K.
6-46-4
Fils A.[6]
Gasquet R.
6-36-4
Borges N.
Michelsen A.
0-67-666-3
Van De Zandschulp B.
Eubanks C.[5]
7-656-2
Van Assche L.
Wolf J.
6-46-2