Elena Rybakina vs Cristina BucsaAdelaide Round of 16

Adelaide · WTA · Round of 16
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
#41WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWWWW
Rybakina E.
6-3 7-5
Bucsa C.
Rybakina E.
672
Bucsa C.
350

Elena Rybakina defeated Cristina Bucsa 6-3 7-5 in the Adelaide round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-05Abu DhabiQFhardElena Rybakina6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bucsa C.

Bucsa C.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Bucsa C.
100
Serve
22
34
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
1.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (154 vs 131). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
60
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
79
Break points won·Even
96
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
27

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+400 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1710
10.0Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1722
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
3.9
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
7.8
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
7.0
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Rybakina E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 62%