Tommy Paul vs Alex Bolt — Adelaide Round of 16

Adelaide · ATP · Round of 16
Tommy Paul
USA1
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
Alex Bolt
AUS
Alex Bolt
#152ATP
1588ELO
1541Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
Paul T.
6-3 6-2
Bolt A.
Paul T.
662
Bolt A.
320

Tommy Paul defeated Alex Bolt 6-3 6-2 in the Adelaide round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-07-30WashingtonR64hardTommy Paul3-6 7-6(0) 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bolt A.

Bolt A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Bolt A.
71
Serve
—
54
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paul T.Bolt A.
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.9
7.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 143). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paul T.Bolt A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
44
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
93
Break points won·Dominant
87
7
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
46
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paul T.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Bolt A.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.9+341 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Hard Elo 1541
9.0Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1588
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
4.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.8
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.2
Country comfort
6.7
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paul T.Bolt A.
Freshness·Clear edge
84
100

Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bolt A.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 62%
Final
Lehecka J.[7]
Draper J.
4-66-46-3
Semi-finals
Lehecka J.[7]
Korda S.[3]
6-26-1
Draper J.
Bublik A.[8]
7-626-4
Quarter-finals
Draper J.
Paul T.[1]
6-16-4
Korda S.[3]
Oconnell C.
6-46-4
Lehecka J.[7]
Jarry N.[2]
6-47-5
Bublik A.[8]
Musetti L.[4]
6-36-747-5
R16
Korda S.[3]
Sonego L.
6-47-610
Jarry N.[2]
Arnaldi M.
6-757-676-4
Paul T.[1]
Bolt A.
6-36-2
Draper J.
Kecmanovic M.
5-77-697-67
Lehecka J.[7]
Lajovic D.
7-54-66-3
Oconnell C.
Shevchenko A.
6-36-1
Musetti L.[4]
Thompson J.
6-46-1
Bublik A.[8]
Evans D.
4-66-26-1
R32
Evans D.
Hijikata R.
6-36-4
Shevchenko A.
Etcheverry T.[6]
7-644-67-5
Oconnell C.
Rinderknech A.
6-46-4
Thompson J.
Diaz Acosta F.
6-26-2
Bolt A.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-2
Kecmanovic M.
Mcdonald M.
6-46-2
Draper J.
Baez S.[5]
6-16-3
Sonego L.
Hanfmann Y.
7-52-67-69
Lajovic D.
Kokkinakis T.
3-66-16-4
Arnaldi M.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-46-3
Bublik A.[8]
Mccabe J.
6-26-3
Lehecka J.[7]
Walton A.
6-16-3