Alex Bolt vs Tomas MachacAdelaide Qualifying Round 1

Adelaide · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#166ATP
1588ELO
1541Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
#53ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Bolt A.
6-1 6-1
Machac T.
Bolt A.
662
Machac T.
110

Alex Bolt defeated Tomas Machac 6-1 6-1 in the Adelaide qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tomas Machac came in ranked #53.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bolt A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Machac T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Bolt A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bolt A.Machac T.
Serve
30
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.0
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (144 vs 122). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
44
90
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
98
Break points won·Dominant
7
80
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1541
Surface ELO
8.3+289 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1866
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
6.8
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
4.8
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.7
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 62%