Mateus Alves vs Valerio AboianBuenos Aires CH Round of 32

Buenos Aires CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#455ATP
1245ELO
1247Clay ELO
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
clay
#427ATP
1348ELO
1339Clay ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Alves M.
6-1 6-2
Aboian V.
Alves M.
662
Aboian V.
120

Mateus Alves defeated Valerio Aboian 6-1 6-2 in the Buenos Aires CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Valerio Aboian came in ranked #427, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Alves M.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Aboian V.

Aboian V.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Alves M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (102 vs 100). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
8
12
Break points saved·Dominant
77
39
Break points won·Dominant
10
37
Deciding sets·Clear edge
1
18
Tiebreaks·
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 84 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1247
Surface ELO
5.6+92 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1245
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1348
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
2.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
86

Alves M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Aboian V.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast