Brandon Nakashima vs Tristan SchoolkateCanberra CH Quarter-final

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024
hard
#149ATP
1549ELO
1514Hard ELO
$246kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
Nakashima B.
6-4 6-4
Schoolkate T.
Nakashima B.
662
Schoolkate T.
440

Brandon Nakashima defeated Tristan Schoolkate 6-4 6-4 in the Canberra CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31.

Key context

  • Match story: Brandon Nakashima edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Schoolkate T.

Schoolkate T.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Schoolkate T.
61
Serve
38
23
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
50%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Even
8.6
8.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (176 vs 186). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
46
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
90
Break points won·Clear edge
13
0
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
8.2+273 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1514
8.1Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1549
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
4.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
69

Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Schoolkate T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast