Ella Seidel vs Eva LysCanberra 125 Qualifying Round 1

Canberra 125 · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#99WTA
1616ELO
1614Hard ELO
21 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024
hard
#85WTA
1791ELO
1770Hard ELO
24 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLLL
Seidel E.
6-3 6-2
Lys E.
Seidel E.
662
Lys E.
32

Ella Seidel defeated Eva Lys 6-3 6-2 in the Canberra 125 qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Eva Lys came in ranked #85.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Seidel E.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Lys E.

Lys E.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Seidel E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Seidel E.Lys E.
20
Serve
11
9
Return
81

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.1
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (136 vs 107). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
52
60
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
57
Break points won·Dominant
70
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
66
Tiebreaks·
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 162 days (−1.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 55 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1614
Surface ELO
6.7+156 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1616
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1791
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
99
99

Seidel E.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Lys E.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast