Maks Kasnikowski vs Valentin RoyerOeiras 1 CH Semi-final

Oeiras 1 CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#252ATP
1400ELO
1369Hard ELO
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024
hard
#77ATP
1641ELO
1585Hard ELO
$521kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Kasnikowski M.
6-4 6-4
Royer V.
Kasnikowski M.
662
Royer V.
440

Maks Kasnikowski defeated Valentin Royer 6-4 6-4 in the Oeiras 1 CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Valentin Royer came in ranked #77.

Key context

  • Match story: Maks Kasnikowski edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kasnikowski M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Royer V.

Royer V.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Kasnikowski M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasnikowski M.Royer V.
Serve
30
Return
20

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
58%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
5.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (118 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
13
59
Break points saved·Dominant
56
94
Break points won·Clear edge
16
30
Deciding sets·Dominant
16
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
38
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 119 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.2Hard Elo 1369
Surface ELO
7.8+216 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1400
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1641
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
6.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
55
62

Kasnikowski M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 81 games (7d) · Royer V.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 94 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast