Tomas Machac vs Blake Ellis — Brisbane Qualifying Round 1

Brisbane · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
Tomas Machac
CZE1
Tomas Machac
#53ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024
hard
AUS
Blake Ellis
#472ATP
1416ELO
1390Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
Machac T.
7-6 6-2
Ellis B.
Machac T.
7762
Ellis B.
6220

Tomas Machac defeated Blake Ellis 7-6 6-2 in the Brisbane qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tomas Machac came in ranked #53.

Key context

  • Match story: Tomas Machac closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Machac T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Ellis B.

Ellis B.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Machac T.Ellis B.
30
Serve
—
25
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Machac T.Ellis B.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.6
8.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (122 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Machac T.Ellis B.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
90
41
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
79
Break points won·Dominant
80
3
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
78
Tiebreaks·Dominant
97
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Machac T.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 40 days (−0.7)
Ellis B.
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
9.8+439 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.3Hard Elo 1390
9.8Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
0.2Overall Elo 1416
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
5.3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Machac T.Ellis B.
Freshness·
—
90

Ellis B.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 90%
Q2
Machac T.[1]
Kovacevic A.[7]
6-46-2
Duckworth J.[9]
Barrere G.[2]
6-17-62
Michelsen A.[4]
Schwartzman D.[8]
6-16-4
Tu L.
Galan D.[3]
6-37-65
Thiem D.[5]
Zeppieri G.[12]
3-66-46-4
Klein L.
Cressy M.[11]
4-67-686-4
Basavareddy N.[12]
Pouille L.[6]
6-46-4
Kukushkin M.[7]
Schoolkate T.
6-46-4
Nishioka Y.[1]
Tu L.
6-32-66-4
Hanfmann Y.[5]
Gasquet R.[9]
7-646-3
Bonzi B.[2]
Andreev A.
3-1
Gomez F.[11]
Lajovic D.[3]
6-17-64
Q1
Barrere G.[2]
Sweeny D.
6-36-0
Galan D.[3]
Kuznetsov A.
7-56-3
Cressy M.[11]
Peniston R.
6-46-4
Michelsen A.[4]
Giannessi A.
6-36-2
Zeppieri G.[12]
Jasika O.
7-56-3
Duckworth J.[9]
Sekulic P.
7-656-4
Thiem D.[5]
Mccabe J.
2-67-646-4
Tu L.
Comesana F.[10]
7-615-77-63
Schwartzman D.[8]
Bradshaw J.
6-26-4
Kovacevic A.[7]
Gaio F.
7-656-2
Klein L.
Halys Q.[6]
6-47-61
Machac T.[1]
Ellis B.
7-626-2
Bonzi B.[2]
Mccabe J.
6-36-2
Kukushkin M.[7]
Collarini A.
6-26-4
Gomez F.[11]
Blanchet U.
3-66-37-5
Andreev A.
Tseng C.[8]
6-43-67-65
Schoolkate T.
Duckworth J.[4]
6-46-4
Tu L.
Klein L.[10]
6-46-4
Pouille L.[6]
Kubler J.
4-66-37-66
Basavareddy N.[12]
Gojo B.
4-67-646-4
Lajovic D.[3]
Hoole C.
5-77-52-0
Gasquet R.[9]
Pham D.
6-16-2
Nishioka Y.[1]
Bolt A.
6-27-64
Hanfmann Y.[5]
Bradshaw J.
6-46-2