Gabriel Diallo vs Juan Manuel CerundoloCanberra CH Round of 32

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#93ATP
1716ELO
1678Hard ELO
$480kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024
hard
#45ATP
1790ELO
1658Hard ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWWW
Diallo G.
4-6 6-3 6-0
Cerundolo J.
Diallo G.
4662
Cerundolo J.
6301

Gabriel Diallo defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo 4-6 6-3 6-0 in the Canberra CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Manuel Cerundolo came in ranked #45.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Diallo G.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Cerundolo J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Diallo G.Cerundolo J.
38
Serve
14
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.6
3.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (152 vs 182). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
64
85
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
82
Break points won·Dominant
24
80
Deciding sets·Slight edge
87
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
68
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 41 days (−0.7)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.0+21 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1658
5.5Overall Elo 1716
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1790
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
100

Diallo G.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Cerundolo J.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast