Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas RuizCanberra CH Qualifying Round 1

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#164ATP
1588ELO
1541Hard ELO
$137kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024 ·
hard
#126ATP
1757ELO
1630Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLW
Bolt A.
7-5 4-6 7-6
Llamas Ruiz P.
Bolt A.
7472
Llamas Ruiz P.
5661

Alex Bolt defeated Pablo Llamas Ruiz 7-5 4-6 7-6 in the Canberra CH qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Llamas Ruiz came in ranked #126, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Alex Bolt claimed a first win over Pablo Llamas Ruiz in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-25US OpenQ256hardPablo Llamas Ruiz6-7(3) 5-7
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQ1clayPablo Llamas Ruiz4-6 6-4 7-5
2025-05-19Roland GarrosQ128clayPablo Llamas Ruiz4-6 6-4 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (156 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
30
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
88
Break points won·Dominant
3
39
Deciding sets·Clear edge
66
79
Tiebreaks·Dominant
28
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
90
58

Bolt A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Llamas Ruiz P.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw