Blake Ellis vs Naoki Nakagawa — Kobe CH Qualifying Round 1

Kobe CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
AUS
Blake Ellis
#472ATP
1416ELO
1390Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 November 2023
hard
JPN7
Naoki Nakagawa
#776ATP
1289ELO
1271Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Ellis B.
6-2 6-7 7-6
Nakagawa N.
Ellis B.
666772
Nakagawa N.
278641

Blake Ellis defeated Naoki Nakagawa 6-2 6-7 7-6 in the Kobe CH qualifying round 1 on hard.

Key context

  • Match story: Blake Ellis closed it out in three sets, 6–2 6–7 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ellis B.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Nakagawa N.

Nakagawa N.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Ellis B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Ellis B.Nakagawa N.
1st serve in·Even
58%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.9
6.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (93 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ellis B.Nakagawa N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
41
3
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
57
Break points won·Even
3
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
78
12
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
38
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ellis B.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Nakagawa N.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+120 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1271
7.2Overall Elo 1416
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1289
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
4.1
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
7.7
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ellis B.Nakagawa N.
Freshness·
92
—

Ellis B.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Q2
Ivanovski K.[4]
Trotter J.
5-77-656-4
Fonio G.[2]
Hazawa S.
6-36-736-1
Fenty A.
Bai Y.
4-66-36-4
Uchiyama Y.[3]
Ellis B.
6-47-5
Holmgren A.
Takahashi Y.
6-46-4
Q1
Bai Y.
Weber A.
6-26-4
Ivanovski K.[4]
Matsuda R.
6-726-26-2
Noguchi R.
Erhard M.[6]
6-46-0
Holmgren A.
Kumar O.[8]
6-26-3
Hazawa S.
Escobedo E.[12]
5-6
Fenty A.
Gerasimov E.[11]
6-30-0
Trotter J.
Sinclair C.[9]
6-47-5
Ellis B.
Nakagawa N.[7]
6-26-767-64
Uchiyama Y.[3]
Sakamoto R.
6-16-2
Fonio G.[2]
Moriya H.
7-56-2
Takahashi Y.
Sekulic P.[1]
6-24-1