Brandon Nakashima vs Jan ChoinskiDanderyd CH Round of 32

Danderyd CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 November 2023
hard
#100ATP
1686ELO
1571Hard ELO
$204kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWW
Nakashima B.
6-4 6-2
Choinski J.
Nakashima B.
662
Choinski J.
420

Brandon Nakashima defeated Jan Choinski 6-4 6-2 in the Danderyd CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Choinski J.

Choinski J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Choinski J.
61
Serve
23
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.2
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
55
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
90
Break points won·Slight edge
13
20
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
41

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+216 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1571
7.8Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1686
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
3.9
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
7.2
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
60

Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Choinski J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast