Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Elias YmerMontevideo CH Round of 16

Montevideo CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 November 2023
clay
#183ATP
1548ELO
1492Clay ELO
$191kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-2 6-7 6-1
Ymer E.
Ugo Carabelli C.
66662
Ymer E.
27811

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Elias Ymer 6-2 6-7 6-1 in the Montevideo CH round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Camilo Ugo Carabelli came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–2 6–7 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ymer E.

Ymer E.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Ymer E.
24
Serve
36
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
4.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
48
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
83
Break points won·Dominant
62
23
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
78
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+249 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Clay Elo 1492
7.3Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1548
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
5.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.2
Minutes 14d
4.6
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest · Ymer E.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast