Jasmine Paolini vs Tamara ZidansekBJK Cup Finals Semi-final

BJK Cup Finals · WTA · Semi-final
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 7 November 2023
hard
#148WTA
1655ELO
1581Hard ELO
28 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWLLW
Paolini J.
6-2 4-6 6-3
Zidansek T.
Paolini J.
6462
Zidansek T.
2631

Jasmine Paolini defeated Tamara Zidansek 6-2 4-6 6-3 in the BJK Cup Finals semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Jasmine Paolini closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-09-16GuangzhouR32hardJasmine Paolini3-6 6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Zidansek T.

Zidansek T.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Zidansek T.
31
Serve
55
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 156). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
63
Break points saved·Dominant
87
39
Break points won·Slight edge
99
91
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
85
Tiebreaks·Even
93
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
8.7+292 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1581
8.2Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1655
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
3.7
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
100

Paolini J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Zidansek T.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast