Alex Michelsen vs Bernard TomicKnoxville CH Round of 32

Knoxville CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 November 2023
hard
#206ATP
1475ELO
1441Hard ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLL
Michelsen A.
4-6 7-6 6-4
Tomic B.
Michelsen A.
47762
Tomic B.
66541

Alex Michelsen defeated Bernard Tomic 4-6 7-6 6-4 in the Knoxville CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tomic B.

Tomic B.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Tomic B.
34
Serve
46
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.0
5.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
53
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
92
Break points won·Dominant
46
4
Deciding sets·Clear edge
91
74
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+369 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Hard Elo 1441
8.8Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
3.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
8.8
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
84

Michelsen A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Tomic B.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast