Adrian Mannarino vs Sebastian OfnerSofia Quarter-final

Sofia · ATP · Quarter-final
#49ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 November 2023
hard
#125ATP
1713ELO
1655Hard ELO
$345kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Mannarino A.
6-7 6-4 6-3
Ofner S.
Mannarino A.
67662
Ofner S.
79431

Adrian Mannarino defeated Sebastian Ofner 6-7 6-4 6-3 in the Sofia quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #49, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Adrian Mannarino extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-25AstanaSFhardAdrian Mannarino6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Mannarino A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ofner S.

Ofner S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mannarino A.Ofner S.
37
Serve
32
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
6.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
65
70
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Clear edge
66
43
Deciding sets·Slight edge
72
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1647
Surface ELO
5.1+7 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1673
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1713
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.8
Surface form
4.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
7.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
77
77

Mannarino A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Ofner S.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast