Jack Draper vs Jan Lennard StruffSofia Semi-final

Sofia · ATP · Semi-final
#145ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 November 2023
hard
#41ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Draper J.
6-3 6-4
Struff J.
Draper J.
662
Struff J.
340

Jack Draper defeated Jan Lennard Struff 6-3 6-4 in the Sofia semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jan Lennard Struff came in ranked #41, defending last year's quarter-final, but Jack Draper had arrived on a 5-match winning run.

Key context

  • Match story: Jack Draper closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Struff J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Draper J.Struff J.
Serve
36
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.1
8.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (156 vs 190). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
61
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
83
21
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
68
Tiebreaks·Even
95
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+148 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1634
7.6Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1694
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.4
Surface form
2.7
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.0
Minutes 14d
7.4
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
64

Draper J.: 17 days rest · Struff J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast