Jack Draper vs Lorenzo MusettiSofia Round of 16

Sofia · ATP · Round of 16
#145ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 November 2023
hard
#14ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Draper J.
7-5 6-2
Musetti L.
Draper J.
762
Musetti L.
520

Jack Draper defeated Lorenzo Musetti 7-5 6-2 in the Sofia round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #14, defending last year's semi-final, but Jack Draper had arrived on a 5-match winning run. Jack Draper extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Jack Draper closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersSFclayJack Draper6-3 7-6(4)
2024-10-21ViennaSFhardJack Draper6-2 6-4
2022-11-07NextGen FinalsRRhardJack Draper4-1 4-0 4-3(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Draper J.Musetti L.
Serve
54
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.1
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (156 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
89
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Even
83
82
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1783
Surface ELO
5.3+21 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1869
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.4
Surface form
3.4
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
5.0
Minutes 14d
7.7
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5
Opponent rise
2.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Draper J.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast