Jakub Mensik vs Flavio CobolliHelsinki CH Round of 32

Helsinki CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#19ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 November 2023
hard
#9ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Mensik J.
7-5 7-6
Cobolli F.
Mensik J.
7782
Cobolli F.
5660

Jakub Mensik defeated Flavio Cobolli 7-5 7-6 in the Helsinki CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jakub Mensik claimed a first win over Flavio Cobolli in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR32grassFlavio Cobolli6-2 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Mensik J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mensik J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mensik J.Cobolli F.
42
Serve
20
51
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.2
5.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
76
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Dominant
77
35
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+83 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1810
5.6Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1896
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
6.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
90
71

Mensik J.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Cobolli F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast