Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Shintaro MochizukiMatsuyama CH Round of 16

Matsuyama CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#390ATP
1387ELO
1375Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 November 2023
hard
#115ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Blancaneaux G.
7-5 6-3
Mochizuki S.
Blancaneaux G.
762
Mochizuki S.
530

Geoffrey Blancaneaux defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 7-5 6-3 in the Matsuyama CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Blancaneaux G.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Blancaneaux G.

Serve advantage — Mochizuki S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
2.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
15
52
Break points saved·Clear edge
62
74
Break points won·Dominant
14
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
47
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1375
Surface ELO
5.6+50 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1387
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.4
Surface form
5.7
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
86

Blancaneaux G.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d) · Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast