Alex Molcan vs Mattia Bellucci — Helsinki CH Round of 32

Helsinki CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Alex Molcan
SVK
Alex Molcan
#101ATP
1742ELO
1653Hard ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 November 2023
hard
Mattia Bellucci
ITA
Mattia Bellucci
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Molcan A.
6-0 2-6 6-1
Bellucci M.
Molcan A.
6262
Bellucci M.
0611

Alex Molcan defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-0 2-6 6-1 in the Helsinki CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #67, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Molcan A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Molcan A.Bellucci M.
—
Serve
0
—
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Molcan A.Bellucci M.
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.7
6.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (144 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Molcan A.Bellucci M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
79
60
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Dominant
61
10
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
81
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Molcan A.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Bellucci M.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1653
Surface ELO
5.1+25 Hard Elo edge
5.8Overall Elo 1742
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1720
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
6.2
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Molcan A.Bellucci M.
Freshness·Slight edge
92
100

Molcan A.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bellucci M.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Moutet C.
Nagal S.
6-33-66-2
Semi-finals
Nagal S.
Travaglia S.
6-16-4
Moutet C.
Rinderknech A.[7]
5-77-56-3
Quarter-finals
Nagal S.
Ruusuvuori E.[2]
6-33-1
Travaglia S.
Albot R.
6-43-67-5
Rinderknech A.[7]
Muller A.[4]
6-776-36-1
Moutet C.
Munar J.[5]
6-27-62
R16
Ruusuvuori E.[2]
Molcan A.
6-27-5
Nagal S.
Mensik J.
7-56-2
Albot R.
Borges N.[3]
6-41-66-4
Rinderknech A.[7]
Dzumhur D.
7-56-2
Muller A.[4]
Lajal M.
6-10-66-1
Munar J.[5]
Neuchrist M.
6-27-63
Moutet C.
Bellier A.
6-46-4
Travaglia S.
Yevseyev D.
6-36-0
R32
Bellier A.
Machac T.[1]
4-64-1
Mensik J.
Cobolli F.[6]
7-57-66
Nagal S.
Novak D.
6-26-3
Ruusuvuori E.[2]
De Loore J.
4-66-06-1
Neuchrist M.
Krutykh O.
7-677-5
Yevseyev D.
Virtanen O.
7-56-3
Rinderknech A.[7]
Vavassori A.
6-47-63
Munar J.[5]
Kaukovalta P.
7-56-4
Borges N.[3]
Goffin D.
6-33-66-3
Travaglia S.
Broady L.[8]
6-46-2
Dzumhur D.
Riedi L.
3-66-46-3
Lajal M.
Maestrelli F.
6-16-3
Muller A.[4]
Vasa E.
6-46-3
Moutet C.
Cressy M.
6-46-2
Albot R.
Kachmazov A.
6-26-1
Molcan A.
Bellucci M.
6-02-66-1