Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Tommy Paul — Paris Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Botic Van De Zandschulp
NED
Botic Van De Zandschulp
#54ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023
hard
Tommy Paul
USA12
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-4 2-6 6-3
Paul T.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6262
Paul T.
4631

Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Tommy Paul 6-4 2-6 6-3 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, defending last year's quarter-final. Botic Van De Zandschulp extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-18LondonR16grassTommy Paul7.7-6.5 6-3
2023-09-14Davis Cup Finals RR: NED vs USARRhardBotic Van De Zandschulp7-6(2) 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Van De Zandschulp B.Paul T.
41
Serve
71
43
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.Paul T.
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Even
5.6
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (196 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Van De Zandschulp B.Paul T.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
93
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Clear edge
68
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Van De Zandschulp B.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Paul T.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1711
Surface ELO
6.9+171 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1949
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.1
Surface form
5.3
Fatigue & Travel
2.8
Minutes 14d
5.4
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Van De Zandschulp B.Paul T.
Freshness·Even
87
84

Van De Zandschulp B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
12°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 92%
Final
Djokovic N.[1]
Dimitrov G.
6-46-3
Semi-finals
Djokovic N.[1]
Rublev A.[5]
5-77-637-5
Dimitrov G.
Tsitsipas S.[7]
6-36-717-63
Quarter-finals
Dimitrov G.
Hurkacz H.[11]
6-14-66-4
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Khachanov K.[16]
6-36-4
Djokovic N.[1]
Rune H.[6]
7-56-736-4
Rublev A.[5]
De Minaur A.[13]
4-66-36-1
R16
De Minaur A.[13]
Sinner J.[4]
W/O
Khachanov K.[16]
Safiullin R.
4-66-46-2
Dimitrov G.
Bublik A.
6-26-2
Rune H.[6]
Altmaier D.
6-36-3
Rublev A.[5]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-3
Hurkacz H.[11]
Cerundolo F.
6-46-3
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Zverev A.[10]
7-626-4
Djokovic N.[1]
Griekspoor T.
4-67-626-4
R32
Altmaier D.
Fritz T.[9]
W/O
Bublik A.
Jarry N.
7-637-63
Hurkacz H.[11]
Bautista Agut R.
6-36-2
Djokovic N.[1]
Etcheverry T.
6-36-2
Griekspoor T.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-26-2
Rune H.[6]
Thiem D.
6-46-2
Sinner J.[4]
Mcdonald M.
6-767-56-1
Van De Zandschulp B.
Paul T.[12]
6-42-66-3
Rublev A.[5]
Nishioka Y.
6-46-3
Cerundolo F.
Ruud C.[8]
7-56-4
Dimitrov G.
Medvedev D.[3]
6-36-747-62
Zverev A.[10]
Humbert U.
6-46-737-65
Khachanov K.[16]
Djere L.
6-47-5
Safiullin R.
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Auger Aliassime F.
6-37-64
De Minaur A.[13]
Lajovic D.
4-66-46-4
R64
Bublik A.
Tiafoe F.[14]
6-36-4
Dimitrov G.
Musetti L.
6-26-746-3
Auger Aliassime F.
Struff J.
7-636-4
Humbert U.
Giron M.
6-46-3
Fritz T.[9]
Baez S.
6-16-4
Paul T.[12]
Gasquet R.
0-66-27-66
Griekspoor T.
Eubanks C.
6-726-36-4
Nishioka Y.
Thompson J.
7-654-66-2
Etcheverry T.
Kecmanovic M.
4-67-666-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shelton B.[15]
7-645-76-3
Altmaier D.
Fils A.
6-26-4
Thiem D.
Wawrinka S.
3-66-37-5
Lajovic D.
Bonzi B.
7-56-3
De Minaur A.[13]
Murray A.
7-654-67-5
Van De Zandschulp B.
Mannarino A.
6-47-5
Cerundolo F.
Monfils G.
4-67-627-5
Bautista Agut R.
Lehecka J.
6-46-2
Djere L.
Van Assche L.
6-766-46-4
Safiullin R.
Muller A.
7-646-3
Hurkacz H.[11]
Korda S.
6-36-766-3
Khachanov K.[16]
Purcell M.
6-46-4
Mcdonald M.
Wolf J.
1-66-46-2
Zverev A.[10]
Fucsovics M.
4-67-56-4
Jarry N.
Popyrin A.
7-57-66