Jannik Sinner vs Mackenzie McdonaldParis Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023
hard
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Sinner J.
6-7 7-5 6-1
Mcdonald M.
Sinner J.
66762
Mcdonald M.
78511

Jannik Sinner defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-7 7-5 6-1 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 64. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardJannik Sinner2-6 6-2 6-1 6-2
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR32clayJannik Sinner6-3 7-6(6) 6-3
2021-08-02WashingtonFhardJannik Sinner7-5 4-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Mcdonald M.
100
Serve
25
100
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
74%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.4
4.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
100
56
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Dominant
100
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
9.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+659 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1604
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1606
10.0
H2H
0.0
9.1
Surface form
5.0
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.3
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.7
Country comfort
4.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
53
87

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
12°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 92%